Tag Archive for: Indonesia

ASPI suggests

President Obama

Welcome back from the break! We’ve kicked off this year’s blogging with Rod Lyon on the security landscape in Asia for 2014 and Peter Jennings on lessons from the 1987 white paper. But if you’ve already made your way through those, here are a few more interesting things to read:

First, Fred Kaplan on Slate takes onNew York Times’ editorial calling on President Obama to grant Edward Snowden ‘some form of clemency’. Distinguishing Snowden’s actions from those of Daniel Ellsberg who leaked a top-secret Pentagon study on the Vietnam War, he argues:

But Snowden did much more than [leak documents on the NSA’s domestic surveillance]. The documents that he gave the Washington Post’s Barton Gellman and the Guardian’s Glenn Greenwald have, so far, furnished stories about the NSA’s interception of email traffic, mobile phone calls, and radio transmissions of Taliban fighters in Pakistan’s northwest territories; about an operation to gauge the loyalties of CIA recruits in Pakistan; about NSA email intercepts to assist intelligence assessments of what’s going on inside Iran; about NSA surveillance of cellphone calls “worldwide,” an effort that (in the Post’s words) “allows it to look for unknown associates of known intelligence targets by tracking people whose movements intersect.” In his first interview with the South China Morning Post, Snowden revealed that the NSA routinely hacks into hundreds of computers in China and Hong Kong.

These operations have nothing to do with domestic surveillance or even spying on allies. They are not illegal, improper, or (in the context of 21st-century international politics) immoral. Exposing such operations has nothing to do with “whistle-blowing.”

Read the rest here.

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ANZUS, Indonesia and the Pottery Barn rule

U.S. Secretary of State John Kerry in Bali, Indonesia, October 6, 2013. In the words of my namesake, Washington has exposed one of The Things We Dare Not Tell. We all know and accept that Australia spies on foreign leaders, but like Fight Club, the first rule about spying is we don’t talk about spying. It’s bipartisan.

Too often overlooked in the current debate is that a serious security blunder by the NSA—and therefore the Obama administration—is largely responsible for derailing the Abbott Coalition Government’s promising early courtship of Jakarta.

Imagine if the situation were reversed. At the very least, Colin Powell’s Pottery Barn rule should apply: you break it, you buy it. The pressing question should therefore be: how does Washington help to clean up this mess? Read more

Some thoughts about maritime management

The current spat between Australia and Indonesia, now centred around intelligence gathering, is also ensnaring Australia’s management of its maritime domain after Indonesia suspended intelligence cooperation on maritime people smuggling. The Coalition’s asylum seeker policy has an inherent risk of undermining its operational application (PDF, pages 69-72) through its potential to irritate Indonesia. But it might be an early administrative decision of the government that has more serious implications for Australia’s management of its maritime domain.

This is the transfer of the Australian Customs and Border Protection Service (ACBPS) from the Attorney General’s portfolio to the control of the Minister for Immigration—another example of policy in this area being driven by reaction to political crisis. Most such changes have paid scant attention to the range of Australia’s maritime interests or to the best ways of managing them (PDF, p14 on).

Managing these interests is complex and difficult because of what I characterised recently as three problems of size. The first is physical, because Australia’s maritime domain is truly vast, with the Exclusive Economic Zone (EEZ) covering 10.4 million square kilometres, 35% more than the Australian land mass. The second is the complexity of the legislative and administrative arrangements (PDF, pages 15–20) that confer authority to manage the maritime domain, with 28 Commonwealth agencies and six generic types of State body playing a role. The third problem is that the agencies responsible for conducting on-water and aerial maritime operations, Border Protection Command (BPC) and Customs’ Maritime Unit, are buried within the vastly larger and more diverse ACBPS. Read more

The Canberra–Jakarta row: an Indonesian perspective

President SBY listening to progress reports on the Australian wiretapping case by the Ambassador to Australia Najdib Riphat Kesoema, at the Presidential Office on Wednesday (20/11) morning. (photo: rusman / presidenri.go.id)

Allegations of Australian espionage towards Indonesia have recently ruffled feathers in Jakarta. While the espionage itself has been an open secret, what Indonesia doesn’t accept, let alone understand, is the depth and extent of the espionage. It’s intruded into the private lives of Indonesian key political and government figures, not least the President Susilo Bambang Yudhoyono and the First Lady, Ani Yudhoyono. Adding insult to injury was Prime Minister Tony Abbott’s refusal to admit that these activities have been ongoing for a long time and consequently (as he refused to comment on intelligence matters), he refused to apologise. In retaliation, Jakarta recalled its Ambassador from Canberra and has terminated cooperation with Australia, particularly military cooperation, on people smuggling. Canberra might perceive Jakarta’s behaviour as an overreaction, or perhaps, assume the dust will easily settle soon. After all, both countries know (at least between their intelligence communities) that spying has been the common order of Australia–Indonesia (and indeed, international) relations. Assuming this mutual tacit ‘understanding’ will calm the storm pretty easily is very misleading and dangerous. The last thing Canberra should do is to underestimate Jakarta’s ire on this issue and the consequences it could potentially bring to bilateral relations. Read more

Spying on friends: how would we feel?

That Australia spies on Indonesia comes as no particular surprise—most people would assume that our security agencies keep an eye on what is going on in the region. However, what has generated the current furore is not the general picture but rather the specifics that Australia has been monitoring—or at least has made very good attempts to monitor—the private conversations of President Yudhoyono, his wife and his entourage.

People in Australia—up to and including the Prime Minister—who try to shrug this off as business as usual seem to miss a couple of important points. The first question to consider is what could possibly be the benefit to Australian security of monitoring these private conversations? The answer is ‘none’. Secondly, Australian politicians from all sides have repeatedly made the perfectly logical and fair point that Indonesia is a very important friend. In which case, why has this sort of monitoring been taking place? Are we also listening in to the private conversations of John Key, the New Zealand Prime Minister and his wife? In the (hopefully unlikely) event that were to be true, then our agencies are completely out of control and are acting against the national interest by putting at risk a very important relationship. Read more

Indonesia and the limits of independence (why hedging isn’t a viable strategy)

Presiden SBY dan Presiden AS Barack Obama dalam keterangan pers bersama, usai pertemuan bilateral Indonesia-AS, di Bali Nusa Dua Convention Center, Jumat (18/11) siang. (Trans: President Yudhoyono and U.S. President Barack Obama in a joint press statement, after the Indonesia-US bilateral meeting, in Bali Nusa Dua Convention Center, Friday (18/11) afternoon.)

Recent posts on The Strategist have looked at Indonesia’s future strategic choices between the US (and its allies) and China. Daniel Grant presents an interesting view that Jakarta won’t easily side with Washington, even in the face of China’s hegemonic expansion. As he sees it, Jakarta’s bebas aktif foreign policy and ‘non-alignment’ militate against choosing sides in major power competition.

I agree that Jakarta is playing it safe, keeping the United States engaged while simultaneously cultivating ties with China (and with other emerging powers, such as India and Japan). During the Cold War, Indonesia used its bebas aktif foreign policy successfully when it avoided strategic alignment with the competing superpower blocs (despite Jakarta’s pro-Western foreign policy under President Suharto). However there are those who assume that in the context of Sino-US strategic relations (or competition), bebas aktif can once again save Indonesia from declaring its strategic alignment. I think this is a dangerous assumption.  

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China’s claims and strategic intent in the South China Sea (part 1)

Serasan Harbor, Natuna IslandsIn a previous post, I detailed a number of recent incidents that have occurred involving Indonesia in the South China Sea, pointing out that the these incidents have occurred out to the furthest extent of China’s ‘nine dash line’ map. While I didn’t address the larger questions of China’s intentions and strategy in the South China Sea in that post (primarily for reasons of space), these larger questions were picked up in a reader’s response by Daniel Grant and are worth a closer look.

These are complex issues that are difficult to address with limited space, but I’ll attempt to condense them in two posts. This one deals with the implications of these incidents for China’s claims in the South China Sea, and the next will look at China’s strategy to enforce these claims in order to protect what it views as its maritime rights and interests in the area.

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Reader response: why Indonesia won’t side with the US (despite non-alignment)

Presiden SBY dan Presiden RRT Xi Jinping memberi keterangan pers bersama seusai pertemuan bilateral di Istana Merdeka, Rabu (2/10) sore. (foto: laily/presidenri.go.id)

Last week in The Strategist Benjamin Schreer offered a stark view of the forces shaping Indonesia’s future strategic choices. Schreer argues that Beijing’s territorial claims in the South China Sea might (or will?) eventually encroach on Indonesia’s maritime interests, pushing it to modify or altogether discard its traditional non-aligned posture and side with the US against China. I think there are good reasons to be sceptical of this picture.

Firstly, there’s little evidence that Indonesia feels as threatened by China as is sometimes assumed in Australia. Secondly, Indonesia would be unlikely to respond to a ‘China threat’ in the way that Schreer suggests. I’ll go through these points in turn. Read more

Why Indonesia will side with the US (despite its ‘non-alignment’ policy)

President Barack Obama meets with President Susilo Bambang Yudhoyono during a bilateral meeting at the Istana Merdeka State Palace Complex in Jakarta, Indonesia, Nov. 9, 2010. (Official White House Photo by Pete Souza)This week, I participated in the 39th meeting of the Australian Member Committee of the Council for Security Co-operation in the Asia-Pacific (Aus-CSCAP) in Darwin. This year’s theme was the US ‘rebalance’ and Southeast Asia, with a specific focus on the implications for Australia–Indonesia defence cooperation.

Comprising officials, academics and journalists from both countries, the discussions were open, frank and refreshing. For me, one of the key messages during the meeting was that Indonesia increasingly sees defence cooperation with the US as both a strategic and a tactical asset amid power shifts in Southeast Asia. My clear impression was that, if push comes to shove, Jakarta will side with Washington against Beijing’s attempt to establish a hegemonic position in Southeast Asia. Read more

Mapping the nine-dash line: recent incidents involving Indonesia in the South China Sea


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In a recent post here on The Strategist, Benjamin Schreer spoke of China’s ‘Achilles heel’ in Southeast Asia: its unwillingness to compromise in the territorial disputes in the South China Sea. This is an excellent point and undoubtedly true, as concerns over China’s claims are longstanding in the region, though it’s also important to emphasise the ongoing incidents at sea as a driving factor in the strategic perceptions of ASEAN. In other words, it’s not just China’s claims that cause concern in Southeast Asia—it’s China’s seeming willingness and intention to enforce these claims that’s currently driving anxiety in ASEAN capitals.

While incidents between China and claimants such as Vietnam and the Philippines in the northern part of the South China Sea have received their fair share of publicity (and rightfully so), there have also been a number of less publicised incidents in the south involving Malaysia and Indonesia. As the Director of Intelligence and Information Operations at US Pacific Command, Captain James Fannell observed earlier this year: ‘If you map out their (China’s) harassments, you will see that they form a curved front that has over time expanded out against the coast of China’s neighbours, becoming the infamous nine-dashed line.’ Read more