Tag Archive for: General

ASPI suggests

The world

The US State Department has released a report highlighting how the US is engaging with its partners to implement its strategy of improving economics, governance and security in the Indo-Pacific. Interestingly, strengthening US relations with Taiwan, including by contributing to the country’s deterrence capabilities, takes a prominent position in the document. The Diplomat offers a brief overview of the report. War on the Rocks puts forward the idea of bolstering the US Coast Guard presence in the Indo-Pacific to reflect President Donald Trump’s prioritisation of the region. Curiously, there are currently no US Coast Guard vessels operating west of Guam. Dive into Shyam Saran’s article in The Tribune to see India’s growing place in the Indo-Pacific, even though it has no significant operational deployments in the region.

There’s plenty to absorb and dissect from the summits held in Bangkok this week; the most significant, of course, was the signing of the Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership, the biggest free trade agreement in the Indo-Pacific. Peter Drysdale and Adam Triggs’s article in the Financial Review presents a convincing argument about the merits of RCEP and its benefits for Australia and the region. India’s decision not to join RCEP for now may be a blessing in disguise, as Jeffrey Wilson points out in The Interpreter.

Much has been written about why India chose to walk away from RCEP at the last minute. Indrani Bagchi explains it well in the Times of India. The Print describes India’s RCEP dilemma as that of being caught between a rock and a hard place. The Diplomat has an excellent article arguing how this ‘geoeconomic misstep’ could be the undoing of Prime Minister Narendra Modi’s ‘act east’ policy.

The US president’s decision to skip the East Asia Summit sent a poor signal to the region. This article in The Diplomat fleshes out what might be achieved in the proposed US–ASEAN summit to be held in the US next year. On that note, check out Joshua White’s new article in India Review that looks at Washington’s approach to China and India, and whether it’s playing one off against the other in the Indo-Pacific.

It has been apparent for a few months (or centuries) that Japan and South Korea aren’t getting along; the brief meeting between Japanese Prime Minister Shinzo Abe and South Korean President Moon Jae-in on the sidelines of the ASEAN+ summits didn’t achieve much. Read this great explainer in War on the Rocks for a detailed look at the ongoing dispute and what it means for the region.

News has broken of a new peace deal in Yemen between the internationally recognised government under President Abdrabbuh Mansur Hadi and separatists in the south of the country. This is a small victory for Saudi Arabia as more of Yemen unifies against the Iran-backed Houthi rebels. Writing for Al Jazeera, Ali Younes is unconvinced the peace deal will bring an end to the conflict as the Saudi crown prince has claimed. The Carnegie Endowment notes that Trump has the power and the opportunity to end the war but has yet to do so.

Is a new Middle East emerging? Two great articles highlight the changes that are occurring throughout the region. First off, Mohammed Ayoob for The Strategist discusses whether the Middle East is entering a post-sectarian era as protests continue in several countries and sects join forces to challenge the established parties. And the International Policy Digest highlights the realignment of some regional powers that have historically been adversaries and the impacts this will have.

Quickly to Europe, where, according to The Guardian, the Brexit turmoil is symbolic of wider upheavals across the continent, and see Bloomberg for a piece echoing the call of the International Monetary Fund for Europe to brace itself for an economic slump.

Tech geek

The Drive has a fascinating article which sheds some light on the US Navy’s development of a little-known advanced electronic warfare program known as NEMESIS. According to the article, NEMESIS is a system designed to project an ‘ecosystem’ of phantom aircraft, ships and submarines to trick enemy sensors. Information about its development can be found in the US Navy program guide from 2017 (page 177).

The National Security Commission on Artificial Intelligence has released an interim report that argues the US military should adopt fully autonomous weapons systems. The report describes the adoption of AI for national security purposes as ‘an urgent national imperative’. US military commanders have so far been wary of using autonomous systems on the battlefield.

Airbus has unveiled its ‘Low Observable UAV Testbed’, or LOUT. A decade in the making, the LOUT has reportedly been developed to test stealth technologies that will be used on the Future Air Combat System. Fabrice Wolf has an interesting article which explains how the LOUT could be a game-changer for the defence industry and airpower in Europe. For a visualisation of the LOUT’s design and development, see here.

The US Department of the Interior has grounded its entire fleet of drones used for firefighting and other emergency services due to concerns about Chinese spying. The drones are made by DJI, a Chinese company, which has pioneered the development of relatively cheap commercial drones.

This week in history

The October Revolution was launched on 6 November (yes, you read that correctly) 1917 by Vladimir Lenin, leader of the Bolshevik party. At the end of the two-day coup Lenin had established a new government with himself at the helm and Russia became the world’s first Marxist state.

Multimedia

See The Atlantic for a documentary which follows English woman Nicola Benyahia, who describes how Islamic State radicalised her son who left England for Syria and would later be killed in a coalition air strike.

See this Al Jazeera photo series which illustrates the violent protests continuing across Iraq.

Podcasts

If you’re running behind on global events this week, check in with Pod Save the World for analysis of the death of IS leader Abu Bakr al-Baghdadi, the Paris climate agreement, Iran’s nuclear activity and more. [1:23.13]

The Center for Strategic and International Studies brings you The Asia Chess Board which this week discusses grey-zone operations. [30:40]

Events

Sydney, 11 November, 12.45–1.45 pm, Lowy Institute: ‘The EU and Ireland after Brexit: In conversation with former European Parliament president Pat Cox’. Register here.

Canberra, 12 November, 12.30 pm, Australian National University: ‘“Australia and the World” 2019 annual lecture’ with Treasurer Josh Frydenberg. Register here.

National security wrap

The beat

Indonesian police arrested over abduction of British man

Four Indonesian police officers have been arrested over their involvement in the abduction and ransom of a British man. He was allegedly stopped at a roadblock, taken to a police station and then transferred to a hotel where he called his boss to pay the ransom of US$900,000 (A$1.3 million). The suspects are now under investigation by the local police. Jakarta police spokesman Argo Yuwono said the officers involved were ‘unscrupulous’.

NSW police watchdog has limited capacity for complaints

The Law Enforcement and Conduct Commission has revealed that ongoing budget cuts have limited its capacity to investigate serious complaints made against NSW police officers. While initial assessments have been made of more than 2,547 complaints filed in the last 12 months, the watchdog’s commissioner, Michael Adams QC, says only 2% have been fully investigated.

Chilean police targeted by protestors

Bodycam footage of protestors in Chile throwing Molotov cocktails at a group of police officers has been posted on the Twitter account of the country’s national police, the Carabineros de Chile,. Several officers suffered severe facial burns after their protective gear caught fire, with the footage showing their colleagues rushing to put out the flames.

Checkpoint

Biosecurity crackdown leads to more deportations

A second Vietnamese tourist has been deported from Australia for trying to bring pork into the country. The man failed to declare 4 kilograms of pork-filled mooncakes at Sydney airport. He was fined $420 and is banned from returning to Australia for three years, under biosecurity rules aimed at preventing African swine fever from reaching Australia. This follows a similar incident last month, when a Vietnamese woman was deported for carrying 4.6 kilograms of raw pork. Meanwhile, two Bangladeshi visitors have also been refused entry at Perth airport, after failing to declare 21 live plants.

Cordless tools breach Trump’s border wall

US border authorities say that Mexican smugglers have been using a popular cordless reciprocating saw to cut gaps in new sections of President Donald Trump’s border wall for people and drugs to pass through. A former Border Patrol chief said that Mexican cartels would ‘continue to innovate’ and won’t stop their efforts simply because of the wall.

Nigeria extends border closure

Nigerian President Muhammadu Buhari has approved the extension of border closures with neighbouring countries until 31 January. The closure of all trade via land borders started in August in order to combat smuggling. The government has seized more than ₦2.3 trillion (A$9.2 billion) worth of contraband, though the closure has also blocked a ‘vital West African trade artery’, and led to a spike in the price of food.

CT scan

Deadly attack on Malian soldiers claimed by IS

At a military outpost in northeast Mali, 53 soldiers and one civilian were killed in a terrorist attack claimed by the Islamic State group. IS claimed responsibility for one of the deadliest attacks against Malian forces through its media outlet, though it did not provide evidence. The attack started in the middle of the day with shellfire and involved at least three suicide bombers who detonated explosives inside a compound.

Turkey demands Germany repatriate IS fighters

Turkey is demanding that Germany repatriate 20 captured German members of IS. Turkish Interior Minister, Suleyman Soylu, was critical of European states for not taking back imprisoned members of IS in Turkey, saying ‘we are not a hotel for IS members’. There are approximately 100 German members of IS imprisoned across Syria, Iraq and Turkey but concern about a political backlash and the practicalities of gathering evidence to prosecute them has made repatriation difficult.

UK terror threat downgraded

The United Kingdom has downgraded its terrorism threat level from ‘severe’ to ‘substantial’, the lowest it’s been since August 2014. However, authorities say the threat of a terrorist attack remains high and could still occur without warning. The BBC reports that this is not a sign that there are fewer people wanting to do harm to the UK, but that the resources and capabilities available to IS to support them has declined since its defeat in Syria.

First responder

Measles causes ‘immune amnesia’

Two new studies claim that measles infections in children can wipe out the immune system’s memory of previous illnesses. This causes the child to experience ‘immune amnesia’, which leaves their body more susceptible to new infections and bugs. This comes as Western Australia faces its worst outbreak of the disease in two decades, while countries like Samoa also experience outbreaks of the virus. Experts have warned of an ‘alarming upsurge’ of measles cases within unvaccinated communities worldwide.

Brazilian wildlife sanctuary threatened by oil spill

Scientists in Brazil are carefully monitoring the Abrolhos Bank, the largest biodiversity hotspot in the South Atlantic Ocean, as crude oil from a mysterious spill makes its way south. The source of the 4,000 tonne leak was unknown for two months but last week, Brazilian federal police named their suspect as a Greek tanker called Bouboulina, which was carrying 1 million barrels’ worth of crude oil off the coast of Venezuela in late July. The owners of the ship deny responsibility.

Apple pledges billions for California housing crisis

Apple has pledged US$2.5 billion (A$3.6 billion) to assist with the housing crisis in California. The company’s investment will go towards improving availability and affordability. Silicon Valley has been called out for its role in the crisis, with house prices rising significantly as a consequence of tech companies using the state as their base, effectively pricing many people out of the market.

The five-domains update

Sea state

Australia and South Korea have held their annual joint naval exercise. Code-named ‘Haedori-Wallaby’, the drills included joint manoeuvres and firing exercises, and involved six ships, six aircraft and a submarine on the Korean side and a Hobart-class destroyer and MH-60 helicopter on the Australian side. The drills were aimed at ‘improving cooperation in the implementation of joint naval operations’. The exercise comes as the Royal Australian Navy sent the frigate HMAS Parramatta to the region to help enforce sanctions on North Korea.

The Russian navy has launched its first missile-armed icebreaker, the Ivan Papanin, which is one of two ordered under a 2016 contract. The vessel will be part of a fleet dubbed Russia’s ‘trump card’ in the Arctic, and will escort vessels, deliver cargo and participate in rescue operations. The ship is scheduled for delivery in 2021, and is expected to be equipped with a helicopter, Kalibr-NK cruise missiles and 76.2-millimetre main gun.

BAE Systems has been awarded a US$120 million (A$174 million) contract to build 30 amphibious combat vehicles for the US Marine Corps, which will be used to transport marines from ship to shore. The vehicles’ design is based on that of the Italian Superav 8×8 amphibious armoured personnel carrier, and will replace the Marine Corps’ ageing amphibious assault vehicles. Production will take place mainly at BAE’s manufacturing facility in Pennsylvania.

Flight path

A US$34 billion deal for the next three lots of F-35 joint strike fighters has been reached. The contract for lots 12, 13 and 14 of the jet includes the delivery of 478 F-35s of all variants and could see the average price per aircraft drop by 12.8%. Under the US budget for 2019, Australia will receive 15 F-35As, costing US$82.4 million in lot 12 and US$79.2 million in lot 13, down from the lot 11 cost of US$89.2 million per unit. Lot 14 F-35As are expected to come in at a cost of US$77.9 million each.

Boeing has delivered the first Poseidon aircraft to the UK’s Royal Air Force. The ‘Pride of Moray’ will be used in maritime patrol and anti-submarine warfare duties. The P-8A is stationed in Florida, where its crew are being trained, and will be transferred to its permanent base in Scotland next year. While the RAF is acquiring nine Poseidons, the Royal Australian Air Force is already operating 10 of the jets and its final two should be in Australia by January.

The US State Department has given its approval for Japan to upgrade 98 of its F-15J interceptors into a ‘Japanese super interceptor’ configuration, which will be the first fleet-wide upgrade since the 1980s. The US$4.5-billion deal is still awaiting congressional approval, but, if accepted, it will include advanced electronically scanned array radars, mission computers, electronic warfare equipment and new munitions.

Rapid fire

A factory that has been manufacturing small arms for Australian soldiers since World War I is building the world’s most modern rifle after a five-year research and development program conducted by Thales Australia. The ‘future soldier weapon system’ being built in Lithgow, New South Wales, is a networked and digital weapon that can use computerised sight and automated firing systems to increase a soldier’s accuracy by up to 400%. It can also identify targets like enemy fighters and drones.

The US and Germany have released a strategic vision statement outlining an unprecedented level of interoperability between the two countries’ ground forces by 2027. Operating at the ‘integrated level’, the aim is for both forces to work seamlessly together. For example, a German brigade or division could work under the operational command of the US Army as a ‘peer formation’ to American units, and vice versa.

The Indian Army has approached the country’s defence ministry in an attempt to keep the acts of homosexuality and adultery punishable offences despite their being separately decriminalised last year. The army wants to both to be categorised as offences under section 45 of India’s army act, which deals with ‘unbecoming’ behaviour. The army says allowing homosexuality and adultery to go ‘unnoticed or unpunished’ could ‘lead to severe discipline issues’.

Final frontier

NASA has provided funding to a Texas-based non-profit to study the feasibility of sending an orbiter mission to Pluto. The Southwest Research Institute will develop the spacecraft and payload design and conduct a preliminary assessment of the cost and risk of the mission. It’s one of 10 different studies being funded by the agency to inform the development of the next decadal plan for space programs.

China has launched a Gaofen-7 earth-observation satellite into orbit using a Long March 4B orbital carrier rocket. A grid fin (or lattice fin) system was attached to the rocket to guide the descent of its boosters to a designated area, reducing the risk of debris landing in populated areas. The addition of a such a system represents a step towards controlled descents and precision landings.

The US Air Force Space Command is set to hold an interagency exercise to come up with ideas for transforming the air force’s launch facilities into multi-use spaceports so they can better accommodate national security, civil and commercial launch demands. Major General Nina Armagno said there’s a need for launch ranges to function more like airports by providing space for both military and commercial uses.

Wired watchtower

Investigate Europe has published an article outlining journalist Katarzyna Pruszkiewicz’s experience working undercover in a Polish troll farm. Pruszkiewicz spent six months working at Cat@Net, a self-styled ‘ePR firm’ in Wroclaw, where she ran multiple fake social media accounts. Following a short trial period, Pruszkiewicz gained access to the company’s Slack channel, where employees shared and received ‘guidance and instructions on what issues to engage with, who to promote, and who to denigrate’.

Anonymous online forum 8chan is back online after being shut down in August due to its connection to three mass shooters and their manifestos. It has been relaunched as 8kun and features a new disclaimer about the content posted on it. Jim Watkins, the site’s owner and operator, told the US Congress in September that it would come back online once measures were in place to block illegal content. However, 8chan’s creator, Fredrick Brennan, has said that 8kun is a ‘bad faith rebrand’ and is no different from 8chan.

WhatsApp, a messaging service owned by Facebook, has filed a lawsuit against NSO Group, an Israeli technology firm. Malware was used to hack into the phones of WhatsApp users, including high-profile government, military and civil-society figures from US-allied states. WhatsApp is claiming that NSO knowingly built and sold a hacking tool that could exploit a flaw in WhatsApp’s servers. The cyber intrusions occurred between 29 April and 10 May 2019 and spread across at least 20 countries.

ASPI suggests

The world

The Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership is likely to take centre stage at the ASEAN+ leaders’ summit underway in Bangkok today, in which leaders from the 10 ASEAN member states and eight other countries, including Australia, are participating. The Conversation has a nice context setter for what Australia hopes to achieve at the summit. To get a general sense of what’s on the table, read this report in The Australian. And while we’re talking about free trade agreements, have a look at this piece in The Diplomat on why Australia and India have been unable to sign one yet.

Meanwhile, the APEC summit in Chile that was slated to start in two weeks has been cancelled amid growing violent protests around the country. Vox has a great explainer about the origins of the protests, while Reuters and Politico investigate how the cancelled summit will affect the US–China trade deal that was expected to be finalised there. An alternative location for the signing is yet to be identified.

The APEC summit’s cancellation has also put Australia’s hopes for a rapprochement with China on hold. Scott Morrison had been seeking a bilateral meeting with China’s President Xi Jinping at APEC, according to the Financial Review. With the prime minister having enjoyed a state dinner at the White House in September, it may still be some time before Xi agrees to official bilateral talks. And as Australian policymakers continue to grapple over the rules of their engagement with China, Greg Sheridan’s article in The Australian offers some great advice.

President Donald Trump announced in classic Twitter fashion that a US raid in Syria had led to the death of Islamic State leader Abu Bakr al-Baghdadi. Starting off on The Strategist, ASPI’s Isaac Kfir discusses how al-Baghdadi’s death will affect global terrorism, which could potentially include moving away from establishing a caliphate to explore new strategies. That view is complemented by Aaron Zelin in Foreign Policy, who examines al-Baghdadi’s legacy, his rise to infamy and how he surpassed even Osama bin Landen in notoriety. Finally, The Atlantic hits the nail on the head by explaining how the West has failed to understand IS and noting that, while the US operation that led to al-Baghdadi’s death was a success, ‘self-congratulation will take us only so far—and not nearly far enough’.

For all China buffs, War on the Rocks has a must-read article this week on Xi Jinping’s grand strategy and what it entails for China’s future. On a related note, check out this Foreign Policy article, which argues that by adopting strategies of horizontal escalation or cost imposition in any conflict with China or Russia, the US would find itself ‘playing right into their hands’. To round it off, don’t miss this piece in Foreign Affairs which argues that China’s economic failure would invigorate the Chinese Communist Party’s project of ultra-nationalism and present a big strategic threat to the US and the world in the short term.

Elsewhere in the Indo-Pacific, Natalie Sambhi has an excellent article in The Strategist that looks at what Indonesian President Joko Widodo’s decision to appoint his former rival Prabowo Subianto as the country’s defence minister means for the future of the country’s civil–military relations. And this article in The Hindu analysing the apparent shift in New Delhi’s foreign policy thinking and behavioural norms also makes for good reading.

Finally, the Modern War Institute provides a blueprint for how artificial intelligence can be used in the defence realm, even as Australia’s chief scientist, Alan Finkel, cautions that the technology could cross a ‘moral boundary’.

Tech geek

The US Army War College has released a new report on the impact of climate change on future operations. The blog Vice has an overview analysis of the main report and it makes sobering reading, in particular the potential impact of tipping points and feedbacks generating systemic collapse.

Breaking Defense has a great piece on emerging electronic warfare threats and the analysis suggests that the US military isn’t ready for such threats from Russia and China. The article suggests that training in the US is unrealistic and doesn’t adequately prepare the US military for high-intensity interstate warfare.

Turning to outer space, South Korean company Perigee Aerospace plans to launch its ‘Blue Whale’ rockets from South Australia’s Whalers Way launch site, which is operated by Southern Launch, from 2021, building up to 40 launches a year, at a cost of just US$2 million per launch.

The Whalers Way site is best suited for polar orbit missions, while Equatorial Launch Australia’s Nhulunbuy site in the Northern Territory is best placed for launches out to the important equatorial low-earth orbit.

And if you’re trying to get your head around the ‘terrain of space’, see this great animation on orbits, orbital velocities and altitudes.

UK company Spacebit has demonstrated a cubesat-based lunar rover called Moon Crawler to be launched in 2021 and delivered to the lunar surface by another commercial lander, the Astrobotic Peregrine. Commercial operations such as these, and others on a larger scale such as Jeff Bezos’s Blue Moon cargo craft, will support human activities on the lunar surface in the 2020s and beyond.

And not to be outdone, the Scots are getting into the space launch business, with Skyrora in Edinburgh aiming to develop orbital class rockets for commercial payloads.

This week in history

On 28 October 1919, the US Congress passed the Volstead Act, ushering in the Prohibition era that lasted nearly 14 years. While it wasn’t actually illegal to drink alcohol, the 18th Amendment outlawed the making, importing and selling of wine, beer and spirits. Organised crime syndicates quickly filled the void and ‘speakeasies’ selling bootleg booze popped up in big cities all over the US. See History Stories for 10 things you should know about the dry days.

Multimedia

Al Jazeera’s The Bottom Line covers off on US foreign policy and the impact it’s having on America’s global alliances. [24:59]

Following al-Baghdadi’s death, PBS’s Frontline has reposted The secret history of ISIS, a feature-length documentary detailing how he came to power and more. [53:51]

Podcasts

World Affairs this week interviews Amaryllis Fox who, at the age of 22, became the CIA’s youngest female officer. She explains life as an undercover agent working throughout the Middle East. [59:01]

This week on the Council of Foreign Relations’ The President’s Inbox, the impact climate change is having and will have on national security, global health and more are discussed with Alice Hill. [31:50]

Check out the latest episode of the On China Podcast, in which Ian Hall speaks about the complicated Sino-Indian relationship and its many dimensions. [57:32]

Events

Canberra, 4 November, 5.30–7.30 pm, ASPI: ‘WDSN In-Conversation with Michèle Coninsx’. Register here.

Melbourne, 7 November, 6–7.30 pm, Australian Institute of International Affairs: ‘The present and future of autonomous weapons’. Tickets here ($30).

National security wrap

The beat

Victoria Police introduces ‘hostile vehicle’ policy

Victoria Police has provided officers with a set of guidelines outlining their powers and responsibilities in the event of a car attack. The new ‘hostile vehicle’ policy clarifies that officers are required to intervene and use all means necessary to protect pedestrians in situations where a car is being used as a weapon. The state’s Crimes Act will be updated to include the new rules.

Increased surveillance powers for Swedish police

Sweden’s Data Protection Authority has authorised police to use facial-recognition technology to assist with the identification of criminal suspects, noting that it’s more effective at identifying suspects than manual screening. Police will be able to compare facial images taken from surveillance footage with a national database of biometric images.

Chinese police ban unregistered mahjong parlours

Police in Yushan, a small county in southeast China, announced that they were banning mahjong parlours in an effort to curtail illegal gambling and ‘purify social conduct’. Police were met with panic and outrage after they issued a statement that said all mahjong parlours would be closed by 22 October and were quick to clarify that the ban only applied to unlicensed parlours. Several other counties in southeast China have also banned the parlours.

Checkpoint

Syria–Turkey border clash

Syrian and Turkish forces have clashed for the first time since Turkey launched its anti-Kurdish offensive, trading fire near the border town of Ras al-Ain that has killed six Syrian soldiers. Meanwhile, Russia’s defence minister has said that Kurdish fighters have finished pulling out from the Turkey–Syria border, in accordance to a deal between Ankara and Moscow. Turkey had previously vowed to cleanse northeast Syria of Kurdish forces if Russia didn’t fulfil its obligations under the deal, and said it will verify the pullout itself through joint patrols.

US border agents discover migrants in semi-trailer

US Border Patrol agents have found 30 illegal migrants hidden in a truck at an immigration checkpoint on Interstate 19 in Arizona. The incident is the second case of attempted people-smuggling in two weeks after 32 migrants were discovered in a truck on the same highway the week before. This comes as Customs and Border Protection officials released statistics on southwest border migration in 2019, and as construction begins on a new border wall in Texas.

Civilians killed at Pakistan–Afghan border

Afghanistan and Pakistan have engaged in clashes along their disputed border. According to Afghan officials, the fighting broke out when Pakistani forces tried to establish a military installation along the border district of Nari. Three Afghan women were killed and at least three other people were injured in the exchange of fire. Pakistan’s military has said that five civilians and six soldiers in the Chitral district were wounded after Afghan forces fired ‘mortars and heavy machine guns from Nari District’. The hostilities stopped after military-level engagements between the two states.

CT scan

India and Saudi Arabia strengthen bilateral cooperation

India’s Prime Minister Narendra Modi and Saudi Arabia’s King Salman bin Abdulaziz Al-Saud met in Riyadh this week. In a joint statement, the two leaders condemned all forms of terrorism and attacks on state sovereignty. They also agreed to strengthen cooperation on combating terrorist operations, sharing information, and building capacity within their existing bilateral security framework.

Chemical weapons a priority for anti-terror efforts in Morocco

Seven people have been arrested and harmful chemical agents hidden in a cache of weapons have been seized during raids on a terrorist cell likely aligned with Islamic State in Morocco. A Moroccan security spokesperson said that the country’s focus now goes beyond car bombs and suicide vests, after the threat of chemical weapons became a priority in the new anti-terror plan implemented earlier this year.

Trump’s ‘unique response’ to al-Bagdhadi’s death

In a ‘bizarre’ 48-minute address, US President Donald Trump said Islamic State leader Abu Bakr al-Baghdadi was ‘a coward’ and ‘died like a dog’ during a US military operation. A White House official explained that it was important for Trump to ‘mock this guy’ in order to break the spell that Bagdahdi held over his followers. Later that day, Trump, the commander-in-chief, used al-Baghdadi’s death in a fundraising pitch, saying the operation was a great day for America.

First responder

Extreme weather warning sparks renewed fears in South California

The US National Weather Service has issued an ‘extreme red-flag warning’ in response to historically strong winds, reaching close to 130 kilometres per hour, and dry conditions. Since the warning was issued, multiple new wildfires have erupted across Southern California and fire crews are struggling to contain them. As the wildfires spread across the south of the state, Californians have been offered respite in the north, with firefighters finally gaining control and evacuation orders lifted.

Wild poliovirus type 3 has been eradicated

On World Polio Day, wild poliovirus type 3 was declared globally eradicated by the independent Global Commission for the Certification of Poliomyelitis Eradication. The disease hasn’t been detected anywhere in the world since 2012. Of the three stereotypes of wild poliovirus, type 2 was declared eradicated in 2015, with the last case found in India in 1999. Last month, a circulating vaccine-derived poliovirus type 1 was confirmed in environmental samples in the Philippines, which has recorded consistently low immunisation coverage.

Fires kill hundreds of koalas in northern New South Wales

Hundreds of koalas are thought to have died in a bushfire in northern New South Wales, which burned through more than two-thirds of koala habitat in the region. The Koala Hospital in Port Macquarie fears the worst, saying that the expected mortality rate is likely 60%, meaning at least 350 koalas have died in the blaze. The hospital’s president said that koalas are ‘terrible’ at coping with fires and tend to climb to the top of a tree and curl into a ball to attempt to try the flames.

The five-domains update

Sea state

New designs on show at the 2019 International Maritime Defence Industry Exhibition in Busan last week included a full-scale prototype of LIG Nex1’s Sea Sword II unmanned surface vessel and a model of Hanwha System’s large-displacement unmanned underwater vehicle. The Sea Sword is being configured for surveillance and armed reconnaissance missions and Hanwha Systems’ unmanned submarine is being developed for South Korea’s Agency for Defence Development for anti-submarine warfare operations. Daewoo Shipbuilding & Marine Engineering unveiled its DW200L multi-purpose light frigate design and a new diesel-electric attack submarine concept, the DSME 2000, which is targeted at the Southeast Asian and South American markets. The exhibit also featured the Tiger Shark torpedo, which is expected to be deployed on South Korean submarines by 2020.

Turkey has launched its first national submarine program, called MILDEN, with local defence contractors to develop and construct six R-class submarines at domestic shipyards. The boats will be based on a German design. Ankara’s defence deals have been coming under increased scrutiny after it launched a military offensive in northern Syria and EU countries decided to suspend new defence export licences to Turkey.

Flight path

Two Russian Tu-160 bombers have touched down at South Africa’s Waterkloof Air Force Base near Pretoria on the bomber’s first African visit. The arrival of the ‘White Swans’ coincided with the first-ever Russia–Africa Summit, which was opened by Russian President Vladimir Putin in Sochi. The deployment is intended to demonstrate Russia’s ability to conduct military operations far from its borders.

For the second time in Canada’s long-running US$15-billion fighter replacement program, the F-35 is looking like the frontrunner for the contract to replace the air force’s 80 ageing CF-18 Hornets. In 2010, the government committed to buy 65 F-35s as part of the joint strike fighter program, but in 2015, newly elected Prime Minister Justin Trudeau decided to pursue a lower cost option. The F-35 has now come back as the favourite ahead of European contenders.

The US Air Force will purchase two to three AT-6 Wolverines and A-29 Super Tucanos to improve its light-attack aircraft capability. This purchase has consolidated the light-attack aircraft experiment, which was put on hold indefinitely in January, and it should be completed in 2020. The affordable planes are considered useful for counterterrorism operations and are valuable support vehicles for air forces conducting operations within their own borders.

Rapid fire

Defence Minister Linda Reynolds and Defence Industry Minister Melissa Price confirmed last week that contracts with Hanwha and Rheinmetall have been signed to begin the risk-mitigation phase of the $10–15 billion LAND 400 phase 3 program. Over the next two years, the companies will conduct evaluations and tests, including testing their vehicles to destruction, while engaging with the Defence Department to clarify, refine and negotiate their tenders.

US troops from Delta Force completed an operation on Saturday in a compound in Syria’s northwestern Idlib province. Their aim was to kill or capture Islamic State leader Abu Bakr al-Baghdadi. Eight US military helicopters remained for more than an hour over the heavily militarised terrority and the Americans had to get prior permission from Russia, Iraq and Turkey to fly over their airspace. According to US President Donald Trump,  Bagdahdi was chased by dogs into a tunnel and ignited his suicide vest, killing himself and three of his children.

A small Australian company, Anywise Consulting, has been awarded a $336,000 contract through the Defence Innovation Hub to develop a next-generation bridging support technology for the Australian Defence Force. Its ‘health and usage monitoring system’ will be modular and scalable so that it can be used for all bridge configurations and sizes.

Final frontier

The US Air Force’s Orbital Test Vehicle-5 completed its mission over the weekend and became the second X-37B spacecraft to land at NASA’s Kennedy Space Center shuttle landing facility. The X-37B is a reusable and unmanned spacecraft, and has been used in the past to test the impact of long periods of space travel on certain technologies. In this instance, the spacecraft had been in orbit for 780 days, beating its previous endurance record by 62 days.

SpaceX plans to begin offering its Starlink satellite broadband service to consumers by the end of 2020. The service is currently being tested on US Air Force planes, but around eight Falcon 9 spacecraft, filled with Starlink satellites, will need to be launched before it can be offered to the public. SpaceX president Gwynne Shotwell said that to get global coverage the company will need a minimum of 24 launches. Demonstrating its potential, SpaceX CEO Elon Musk successfully tweeted using the service last week.

Virgin Galactic has begun trading shares on the New York Stock Exchange, becoming the first publicly listed spaceflight company. Company founder Richard Branson announced the move in July, noting that taking Virgin Galactic public would ‘open space to more investors and in doing so, open space to thousands of new astronauts’.

Wired watchtower

The Morrison government’s facial recognition technology bill was rejected by the Parliamentary Joint Committee on Intelligence and Security over concerns that it could allow the technology to be used for ‘mass or blanket surveillance’. Committee chair Andrew Hastie noted that, while the committee supported the objectives of the bill, more robust safeguards and appropriate oversight mechanisms were required to ensure the protection of people’s right to privacy. The committee recommended that the government completely redraft the proposed legislation and then resubmit it to the committee.

Microsoft has secured a 10-year, US$10 billion contract to work on the Pentagon’s Joint Enterprise Defense Infrastructure, known as JEDI. That will include replacing the Pentagon’s computer network with a cloud-based system, providing artificial-intelligence-based data analytics, and hosting classified military information. The selection of Microsoft came as a surprise; its competitor Amazon had been considered the favourite to win the contract.

British universities have been warned by the country’s intelligence agencies, MI5 and GCHQ, to put national security ahead of commercial interests amid rising tensions over state-sponsored theft of research and intellectual property. The agencies are reportedly concerned that British universities are becoming dependent on international grants and students from China, with around 100,000 Chinese nationals studying in Britain, and are consequently more vulnerable to Chinese influence and interference.

ASPI suggests

The world

US President Donald Trump has lifted sanctions on Turkey following a promise that it would cease fighting in northern Syria. Vox argues that Trump’s stance on Syria is the clearest articulation of his foreign policy so far—only fight wars in which the US has an interest or a clear path to victory. Meanwhile, War on the Rocks suggests that, while Trump made the right decision to withdraw US forces from Syria, it demonstrates his belief that alliances are a means not an end. Over at The Atlantic, Kathy Gilsinan says that Trump’s ‘sloppy’ success in Syria is unlikely to last.

US Secretary of State Mike Pompeo’s latest foreign policy speech at the Heritage Foundation has caused quite a stir, mainly for his remark that the purpose of the Quad is to keep China in its ‘proper place’. Iain Henry writes in The Interpreter that Pompeo’s airing of views presents an opportunity for some plain speaking on the purpose of the Quad to ensure all nations are on the same page. Also, read this Foreign Policy piece on the takeaways from US Vice President Mike Pence’s most recent speech on China.

Victorian Premiere Daniel Andrews’s renewed endorsement of the Belt and Road Initiative is a cause for some concern. Read this piece in The Strategist by ASPI’s Michael Shoebridge to gain a clearer understanding of the strategic implications of Victoria’s latest move.

Speculation about China’s leasing of the island of Tulagi from Solomon Islands has been circulating for over a week now. See the original New York Times article that broke the story late last week. This article in The Interpreter raises doubts over whether the Chinese company could actually lease an entire island and highlights the perils of China’s attempting to do so. On a related note, the Lowy Institute has published a report that uses a data-driven approach to assess Beijing’s ‘debt-trap diplomacy’ in the South Pacific.

Indian foreign policy wonks are in for a treat this weekend. The Center for a New American Security published a great report looking at India’s asymmetric power differential with China. Dhruva Jaishankar’s latest Brookings paper provides a 360-degree overview of India’s tilt to the Indo-Pacific. Listen to this insightful conversation between Jeff Smith, Tanvi Madan and Nitin Gokhale on current US–China–India dynamics. And while we’re on the topic, don’t forget to check out this stellar article in Foreign Affairs urging the US to continue with its policy of ‘strategic altruism’ vis-á-vis India.

The ABC’s ‘Australia Talks’ quiz has produced a pair of shocking results: 68% of men who responded to the survey don’t call themselves feminists, and 42% of men believe that men and women are treated equally in Australia. Those numbers brought to mind last year’s Gender equality at work report, which points out that there are more men named Andrew at the helm of ASX 200 companies than women CEOs. So it’s not clear why the ABC statistics weren’t lower and higher, respectively. This great long read in National Geographic is a timely reminder of the struggles of obtaining gender equality and the barriers that are yet to be overcome.

Speaking of equality, the necessity of women’s participation in peacekeeping was highlighted in a speech given by the UN deputy secretary-general in Addis Ababa earlier this week. Amina Mohamed presented the evidence that female participation produces more inclusive, effective and durable peace. Those observations are echoed in this Financial Times piece on the importance of increasing the number of female peacekeepers and placing them in leadership roles, which, according to the UN, makes local populations feel safer and has been shown to reduce conflict. And see this article in IOL which follows the experiences of the only female commander on the African continent, Lieutenant Colonel Tiisetso Sekgobela.

Tech geek

Naval Group has announced that Jeumont Electric will design the main electric propulsion equipment for Australia’s Attack-class submarines, and a subsidiary will be established in Australia. The first sheet of the French navy’s new defence and intervention frigate was cut at Naval Group’s site in Lorient. Delivery of the first ship is expected in 2023. France’s defence minister, Florence Parly, said the new frigates will incorporate a four-panel, 360-degree radar system; Aster missiles; and towed sonar, and will be able to deploy both a helicopter and a drone at the same time.

The UK Ministry of Defence announced that the operational handover of HMS Audacious to the Royal Navy will be delayed due to ‘emergent technical issues’. It’s not the first time the Astute-class nuclear submarine program has been delayed. In 2012, The Guardian revealed that the program had been plagued by design and construction flaws.

Airbus has confirmed that there have been compatibility issues affecting mid-air refuelling between the A330 Multi-Role Tanker Transport and F-15 fighter aircraft. Changes have been made to the software that controls the A330 tanker boom because of the F-15’s receptacle design. As Australia was the first country to operate the MRTT, it’s likely that it will seek to update the software on its aircraft so that it can refuel US and Singaporean F-15s.

In other news, Taiwan is reportedly building a fleet of kamikaze drones to defend itself against China, which has released wind tunnel imagery of a two-stage-to-orbit space launch system. The US is working towards integrating US Marines into British carrier operations, and a US$35 microcomputer is reported to have achieved a higher level of performance than a professional fighter pilot.

This week in history

This week in 2011, Muammar Gaddafi, Libya’s dictator of 42 years, was found hiding in a culvert and killed shortly after by forces of the National Transitional Council. Now, eight years on, Libya is still in the midst of a horrible civil war. The ABC takes a look at what went wrong.

Multimedia

Al Jazeera’s The Bottom Line investigates what Trump’s impeachment is actually about and where it’s heading. [26.29]

The Atlantic has published a photo series of the often violent demonstrations that have been erupting across Chile.

Podcasts

Always worth a listen is the Kings College podcast, which this week focuses on feminism in international relations and security. [44:50]

CSIS interviews Steve Hadley, US President George W. Bush’s assistant for national security affairs, who discusses his journey to the White House as well as the contemporary challenges between Washington and Beijing. [27.58]

Events

Melbourne, 28 October, 6–7.30 pm, Australian Institute of International Affairs: ‘Dilemmas in counter-terrorism decision making’. Tickets here ($30).

Canberra, 31 October, 5.30–7.30pm, ASPI: Launch: Sticking to our guns by Chris Masters. Register here.

National security wrap

The beat 

Police use of tasers scrutinised in Western Australia 

The ABC investigated the use of tasers by police in Western Australia using data obtained under the Freedom of Information Act. The investigation was prompted by a high-profile incident in 2017 involving a police officer who tasered a man after pulling him over for a random breath test. The ABC found that, on average, five Western Australians are tasered by police every week, with a quarter of those incidents linked to mental health or alcohol and drugs.

UK police ‘boys’ culture’ under investigation

The London-based Centre for Women’s Justice is set to make an official complaint against police departments in a number of UK jurisdictions for failing to appropriately address allegations of domestic abuse perpetrated by their officers. The complaint will outline police failings when dealing with allegations of domestic abuse involving one of their own. Solicitor Nogah Ofer says there are concerns over the ‘potential for improper manipulation when police forces investigate their own officers’.

Blowpipe blunts belligerent Bavarian bovine

German police were forced to deploy multiple units and a helicopter after a ‘highly aggressive cow’ went on a rampage through the Bavarian town of Sand am Main. Police pursued the 600-kilogram beast through the town and eventually captured it with the help of a vet with a blowpipe tranquiliser dart—but not before the cow had destroyed a scooter and a greenhouse, had an altercation with its owner, and damaged a police car.

Checkpoint

Government pushes repeal of medevac laws

Prime Minister Scott Morrison has slammed border-security ‘naivety’ as he seeks to repeal laws controlling the medical transfer of asylum seekers, which the government believes poses an ‘unacceptable risk to the nation’s border protection regime’. This comes as Home Affairs Minister Peter Dutton used his powers under the medevac laws to block the transfer of a refugee on security grounds, despite previous claims that the government was powerless to do so. The repeal of the legislation depends on Senate support.

US eyes facial recognition cameras 

US customs officials are seeking information on facial recognition software for border agents’ body cameras. A document shows the agency wants to ‘obtain information and/or recommendations for body-worn cameras [and] software for video management and redaction’ to ‘expand its audio and video recording capability’. Though the technology could help agents find people of interest, there are concerns that it could perpetuate biases and even lead to the deportation of misidentified or legal immigrants.

Indian guard killed on Bangladesh border

Bangladeshi forces have killed an Indian border guard and wounded another after an altercation erupted over a detained Indian fisherman. Border Guard Bangladesh claims its officers acted in self-defence after gunfire by India’s Border Security Force, though the Indians denied using their weapons. It’s the first fatal incident between India and Bangladesh in recent times, as border relations are usually good. The fisherman is to be handed over in a future meeting.

CT scan

France foils 9/11-inspired terror plot

French intelligence services have foiled a terror plot inspired by the September 11 attacks in New York, the 60th time a potential terrorist attack has been thwarted by authorities since 2013. French Interior Minister Christophe Castaner said that the suspect was still planning the attack when he was arrested. Newspaper Le Parisien reports the man was in the process of looking for a weapon with which to hijack a plane.

US diplomat says terror support an obstacle for India–Pakistan relations

Pakistan’s continued support for extremist groups that engage in cross-border terrorism are the ‘chief obstacle’ to talks between India and Pakistan, according to the acting US assistant secretary of state for South and Central Asia, Alice G. Wells. Wells said the US supports a direct dialogue between Pakistan and India, as outlined in the 1972 Shimla Agreement, but recognises that until Pakistan takes ‘sustained and irreversible steps against militants and terrorists in its territory’, a resolution is unlikely.

Tougher punishments recommended for UK terror supporters

A UK sentencing body has recommended tougher punishments for people convicted of expressing support for banned organisations or viewing terrorist material online. Under the new guidelines, those convicted of encouraging terrorism could face a doubling of minimum jail terms from five years to 10 years. If the recommendations are confirmed, the laws will come into effect in early 2020.

First responder

Climate change could create ‘uninsurable’ homes 

The ABC reports that climate change is causing insurance premiums to rise as extreme weather threatens properties. Its investigation found that up to 720,000 addresses in Australia will be ‘uninsurable’ by the turn of the century if climate change isn’t mitigated. There will also be implications for the property market, where buyers will need to factor in climate risk when making a purchase. Insurers worldwide are now adapting their investment portfolios to limit climate-change risks.

Natural disasters displace record number of people

A report released by the US State Department’s Humanitarian Information Unit shows that a record number of people were displaced by natural disasters in the first half of 2019. Of the 10.8 million displacements worldwide between January and June, a record 7 million were caused by natural disasters. The five most devastating disasters caused 5.2 million displacements, with Cyclone Fani alone displacing almost 4 million people in India and Bangladesh.

Disease threatens Thai rubber production 

An outbreak of a leaf-spotting disease caused by Pestalotiopsis fungi has spread to plantations in Thailand, which produces about 40% of the world’s rubber. The disease has been found only in the south of Thailand, but threatens to reduce the area’s output of rubber by half. Around 16,000 hectares have been affected by the disease so far, and authorities are making efforts to contain it. The disease has also hit rubber plantations in Indonesia and Malaysia.

The five-domains update

Sea state

The Japanese government says it won’t join the US-led coalition in the Strait of Hormuz, though it will send its own forces to the area. Chief Cabinet Secretary Yoshihide Suga said Japan plans to deploy warships used for information-gathering purposes to the region to ensure the safe shipment of oil to Japan. This comes as Prime Minister Shinzo Abe seeks to defuse tensions between Iran and the US, with Japan’s longstanding ties with Iran reportedly a key factor in its reluctance to join the US-led initiative.

The Defence Department has opened the Underwater Collision Research Facility at the Australian Maritime College in Tasmania. The facility is a joint initiative under a collaborative research agreement between Defence Science and Technology and the University of Tasmania, and will support Australia’s shipbuilding capability. Defence Minister Linda Reynolds said the facility will allow for ‘better understanding of the impact of underwater collisions’ and help to keep navy personnel safe.

The second edition of the India–Myanmar Naval Exercise (IMNEX) began last week. The exercise is divided into harbour and sea phases, and encompasses a variety of activities including anti-air and surface firing drills, helicopter exercises and seamanship training. This year’s iteration is broader in scope and complexity than last year’s IMNEX, highlighting the growing cooperation between the two navies.

Flight path

Full-rate production of Lockheed Martin’s F-35 fighter plane could be delayed until 2021, due to issues in integrating the jet into its simulation environment, the US defence department says. Acquisition chief Ellen Lord said a ‘late start to initiation of intensive simulator testing’ is responsible for the delay. Production of the plane has been slowed in the past by supply-chain problems and other issues.

The US has bombed its own headquarters in northern Syria in an attempt to prevent it from falling into the hands of Turkish-backed fighters. Two US Air Force F-15E Strike Eagles also conducted an air strike on an ammunition cache so that it couldn’t be seized by the Free Syrian Army. The bombing followed US President Donald Trump’s announcement that troops would withdraw from northern Syria and the subsequent Turkish military offensive against Syrian Kurds, who Turkey views as terrorists.

Despite ongoing delays, Taiwan’s defence minister has said his country’s program to upgrade its F-16 fighter jets is expected to finish on time in 2022. The multimillion-dollar program involves bringing its fleet of 142 F-16s up to ‘Viper’ standard and is part of Taiwan’s effort to bolster its defensive capability in the face of growing uncertainty. Taiwan is also seeking new reconnaissance pods for its F-16s to give the jets the technology to monitor the coastline of mainland China without leaving Taiwanese airspace.

Rapid fire

The ABC reports a newly obtained study by the Afghanistan Independent Human Rights Commission has led the Department of Defence to admit that an Australian soldier fired at protestors outside an Australian base in Uruzgan province in 2010. At the time, NATO claimed one protestor was killed, though the new report claims five civilians were killed and six wounded. An investigation into the incident found that Australian soldiers acted in accordance with their rules of engagement.

South Korean company Hanwha Defence unveiled a prototype of its contender for the Australian Army’s new infantry fighting vehicle at the 2019 Seoul International Aerospace and Defence Exhibition. The AS21 Redback  is based on the South Korean Army’s K21 IFV, and will be fitted with a new active protection system to protect it against guided anti-tank missiles. The Redback has made the shortlist for phase three of the LAND 400 program, which will replace the Vietnam War–era M113 armoured personnel carrier, and provide the Australian Army with up to 450 modern IFVs.

The US Army has dropped the joint Rheinmetall–Raytheon bid to replace the M2 Bradley IFV, leaving only General Dynamic Land Systems in the race. The proposed delivery date for the KF-41 Lynx of 1 October and transport and certification within Germany were cited as issues with the withdrawn bid.

Final frontier

NASA astronauts Christina Koch and Jessica Meir completed the agency’s first all-female spacewalk while carrying out repairs on the International Space Station. The astronauts spent seven hours and 17 minutes outside the ISS and replaced a faulty battery charger that connects the station’s solar panels to its power supply. NASA Administrator Jim Bridenstine told reporters that it won’t be long before the first woman walks on the moon, and that the first person to walk on Mars could be a woman.

German company Bosch has developed a new AI-based sensor for the International Space Station’s Astrobee robot. Known as the SoundSee module, the sensor has been designed to function as an ‘ear’ for the Astrobee and will hopefully enable the robot to ‘hear’ mechanical issues before they arise. The sensor will use microphones and machine-learning algorithms to develop a sound baseline aboard the station and then continually compare new audio data to the baseline to detect potential mechanical issues.

NASA has released a report of findings and recommendations following a review of the agency’s policies on planetary protection. The independent review found that NASA’s policies no longer reflect the latest knowledge and need to be brought up to date to prevent the contamination of earth and other planets as a result of space research, noting that for many missions the policies are ‘anachronistic and sometimes unrealistic’.

Wired watchtower

A joint UK and US investigation has uncovered a sophisticated operation run by a Russian cyberespionage unit in which a group of Iranian-government-linked hackers were infiltrated. The Iranian group, known as Oilrig, was hijacked and then used by the Russians as a proxy to launch cyberattacks in more than 35 countries, mainly in the Middle East. Security officials involved in the investigation say it’s unlikely that the Iranians knew they had been co-opted.

The Atlantic Council’s Digital Forensic Research Lab has been keeping tabs on a social media disinformation campaign that appears to be accompanying Turkey’s military campaign in the Kurdish-held regions of northern Syria. DFRLab found thousands of bot-like Twitter accounts sharing political propaganda that is aimed at deflecting the international scrutiny directed at Turkey and President Recep Tayyip Erdogan.

Cybersecurity firm CrowdStrike published a new report outlining China’s efforts to fill key technology and intelligence gaps by stealing intellectual property from foreign companies. The report claims that the Comac C919 jetliner is the product of Chinese state-sponsored IP theft. According to the report, between 2010 and 2015, Chinese hackers targeted several overseas suppliers, such as Honeywell, General Electric and Liebherr, and stole information on a number of different components, which Comac then used to build its own model.

ASPI suggests

The world

UK and EU negotiators yesterday reached an agreement on a Brexit deal that Prime Minister Boris Johnson says he’s confident will pass the House of Commons over the weekend. Politico has a great read on the details of the proposed new deal and what’s changed from the old one. The announcement came after two days of negotiations in Brussels made as part of a final attempt to stop the UK from crashing out of the EU without a Brexit deal. Earlier in the week, Britain celebrated the state opening of parliament and tuned in to hear Queen Elizabeth II set out the government’s agenda. The speech was unsurprisingly dominated by all things Brexit, with the head of state confirming that the government’s priority ‘has always been to secure the United Kingdom’s departure from the European Union on 31 October’, something that may well happen if the new agreement can get past parliament. The Atlantic has the details.

Germany’s Federal Network Agency released a set of draft guidelines on the technical and governance criteria for companies wanting to build the country’s 5G infrastructure. The draft has been met with criticism, with many commentators asking why Huawei hasn’t been specifically excluded from working on Germany’s 5G network. As drafted, the guidelines simply require the Chinese telecom giant to prove its ‘trustworthiness’ to be eligible for tender.

As commentators continued to ponder the wisdom (or otherwise) of the US troop withdrawal from northern Syria, the White House finally made a statement of sorts, in a bizarrely worded and threatening letter from President Donald Trump to Turkey’s President Recep Tayyip Erdogan. If you’re a bit behind on what Turkey is doing in Syria and why, see this Vox article. To stop Turkey from exacerbating the already horrible humanitarian disaster in Syria, America is left with one solution according to The Atlantic—sanctions.

Foreign Policy analyses why the US has chosen to indict Halkbank, a state-owned Turkish bank that aided Iran in evading US sanctions, adding to the tensions between Trump and Erdogan. Finally, Foreign Affairs raises fears of an Islamic State resurgence following the Turkish invasion and asks who will deal with it.

Turkey has now agreed to a five-day ceasefire to allow Kurdish forces to withdraw, effectively achieving its goal of forcing the Kurds from its ‘safe zone’. See the ABC for the details.

As news broke on Monday that a Chinese company may be about to lease an entire island from Solomon Islands, fears of the Chinese state’s growing influence in the region have once again flared. Writing in The Conversation, Michelle Grattan covers shadow foreign minister Penny Wong’s call for Australia to redefine the boundaries of its relationship with China. The Sydney Morning Herald’s Peter Hartcher, meanwhile, has looked at Australia’s position between the US and China and how we can manage their deteriorating relationship.

The UN General Assembly has controversially elected Venezuela to serve on the Human Rights Council, despite efforts to prevent Nicolás Maduro’s government from obtaining a seat, as outlined by Human Rights Watch. Costa Rica had put itself forward for one of the two Latin American seats on the 47-member council. The second seat was secured by Brazil. Costa Rica’s decision to challenge Venezuela and President Carlos Alvardo Quesada’s public criticism of the Venezuelan regime are discussed in an article in The Atlantic, which notes that regional solidarity is clearly under threat.

And finally, North Korea’s state media has released a collection of photos of dictator Kim Jong-un riding a white horse up Mount Paektu with eyes ‘full of noble glitters’, signalling ‘a great event in the history of the Korean revolution’.

Tech geek

In what’s been described as a ‘shock move’, the US Army has disqualified the KF-41 Lynx from its ‘Optionally Manned Fighting Vehicle’ program. The Lynx was jointly offered by Rheinmetall and Raytheon to replace the M2 Bradley infantry fighting vehicle. General Dynamics Land Systems, the only contender left for the program, hasn’t revealed what its offering will look like. This decision may have an adverse impact on Australia’s LAND 400 phase 3 program, as the Lynx has also been offered to the Australian Army.

South Korea has revealed its first full-scale mock-up of its KF-X fighter aircraft at the Seoul International Aerospace and Defense Exhibition. Korea Aerospace Industries is overseeing the program, and the first prototype is expected to take flight in 2021. Indonesia was intimately involved in the joint development and production of the KF-X from 2009, but has since sought to renegotiate its contribution to the project. In 2018, Indonesia had failed to pay South Korea around US$200 million. For a timeline of contracts and key events, see here.

Finally, an image of a new Chinese Jin-class nuclear-powered ballistic-missile submarine reportedly taken in September has emerged on Twitter. The photo may have been taken by Vietnamese fishermen near the Paracel Islands. It’s highly unusual for nuclear submarines to surface away from their home base. Analyst H.I. Sutton has suggested the submarine may have been caught in fishing nets. For some other submarine and fishing trawler incidents, see here.

This week in history

This week in 1934 the most famous of China’s Long Marches began. A military retreat by the communist party’s Red Army, the march beginning on 12 October 1934 saw the First Front Army (eventually commanded by Mao Zedong) walk more than 9,000 kilometres to avoid annihilation.

Multimedia

For a look outside, see Al Jazeera for some amazing photographs from the ‘Wildlife Photographer of the Year’ competition.

Reuters presents the latest photos from Syria as Turkish forces continue their offensive against the Kurds.

Podcasts

Global Dispatches this week analyses the ‘Girl effect’—the idea that community and societal benefits accumulate when investments are targeted specifically at the education and health of girls and young women. [24:04]

Still a little behind on what’s happening in Syria? CSIS has you covered in this podcast focusing on the ongoing conflict and the withdrawal of US forces, including why it happened and its impacts. [30:04]

Events

Canberra, 22 October, 5.15–7 pm, Australian National University: ‘US–China relations and America’s Asian partners’. Register here.

Sydney, 22 October, 6.15–7.15 pm, Lowy Institute: ‘What’s next for Islamic State?’ Register here.

Melbourne, 23 October, 6.45–7.45, University of Melbourne: ‘The importance of history: reflections from a foreign correspondent’. Tickets here.