Tag Archive for: Fiji

Increasing women’s representation in Pacific politics: ‘give it time’ is not the answer

Independent states in the Pacific region have the lowest levels of women’s political representation in the world. Fewer than 7% of Pacific politicians are women, compared with 27% globally. The absence of women’s voices in political decision-making has been consistently raised in regional forums, although progress has been slow. Yet, in November 2022, a milestone was reached: for the first time, there was at least one elected woman in every Pacific parliament.

This seems to validate a common sentiment of ‘give it time’—that women’s political representation in the Pacific is bound to gradually increase. However, the reality is that progress is not guaranteed, and setbacks are common. Elections last year in the region’s two largest states, Papua New Guinea and Fiji, illustrate this clearly.

In PNG’s 2022 national election, of the 3,619 candidates who contested, only 159 were women (4%). Two women—Rufina Peter and Kessy Sawang—were voted in. Their wins came after a five-year period with no women in the PNG parliament (2017–2022). Both Peter and Sawang were highly competitive candidates who had run in 2017 and performed well, both placing third in their respective electorates (Central Provincial and Rai Coast Open).

Similar to previous elections, the 2022 election was rife with electoral malfeasance, and in many electorates voters experienced intimidation and violence. After Peter was declared, Prime Minister James Marape acknowledged the need to improve the electoral system to make it more conducive for women, yet simultaneously squashed any hopes of introducing special measures for women, stating, ‘Ms Peter has shown that you can win any election … Yes, we need to make changes in how the election is run, but Ms Peter has set the bar.’ This response seems to be a dismissal of calls to institute special measures to ensure women’s representation in politics, a position he has maintained since becoming prime minister in 2019.

Peter’s and Sawang’s wins were impressive personal achievements, and testaments to their individual leadership, credibility and strategic approach to political campaigning. Yet the fact remains that PNG’s electoral space is hostile towards women. The number of women in parliament today is lower than it was 45 years ago, after the country’s first post-independence elections.

Meanwhile, Fiji’s 2022 general election was significant because it prompted the first change of government since the 2006 military coup. Despite some concerns, the transfer of power was peaceful. Yet this democratic result was accompanied by a substantial drop in the number of women in Fiji’s parliament. Women made up just 55 (16%) of the 343 candidates. Following the December election, women’s representation declined from 10 out of 51 MPs (19.6%) to six out of 55 MPs (10.9%). After the resignation of Rosy Akbar in February 2023, the number fell to five (9.1%).

Fiji has often been regarded as a positive outlier in terms of women’s representation, consistently appearing at the top of regional league tables. Its strongly institutionalised political party system—relatively unusual in the region—and, since 2014, its proportional representation voting system, have been viewed as beneficial for women candidates. It also has relatively high numbers of women in party leadership, and has had women deputy prime ministers and leaders of the opposition before (although a woman has never been appointed prime minister). Yet the 2022 election is evidence that gains in women’s representation are never assured.

In both the PNG and Fiji general elections, the proportion of women candidates contesting declined. This is perhaps unsurprising given that candidates in successive elections have expressed frustration with the process. In PNG, women candidates in 2017 and 2022 alleged that fraud and manipulation, along with problems with electoral administration, hurt their electoral chances. In Fiji, women candidates across multiple elections have reported vicious online harassment. A recent study highlighted how violence against women in politics affected women’s political participation and ambition in Pacific island countries, including PNG and Fiji. This is another sign that gradual increases—in either the number of women elected or the number of women contesting elections—are far from guaranteed.

Both Marape and Prime Minister Sitiveni Rabuka of Fiji have acknowledged the issue of underrepresentation of women in politics. But what is the solution? Institutional measures such as gender quotas are an option, and have been successful in raising the numbers of elected women in parliaments across the world. Such measures are not frequently used in the Pacific, however, and have been subject to backlash and manipulation. Neither the Fiji nor the PNG government has shown much enthusiasm for introducing parliamentary gender quotas.

But quotas are just one option in the political toolkit to increase women’s representation, and throughout the region coalitions like the Fiji Women’s Forum and PNG’s ‘Vote Women for Change‘ movement are developing innovative and locally led approaches to tackling the issue. Supporting these efforts is important, as is, crucially, maintaining pressure on the male-dominated governments of the Pacific region to ensure the underrepresentation of women in parliaments doesn’t drop off the political agenda.

It is not enough to sit back and wait for change to happen. The history of women’s political representation in the Pacific region tells us that progress is not guaranteed—it has to be guarded, and continually fought for.

Rugby relations: Australia’s best diplomatic asset in the Pacific

Australia’s strength in its international relations with the South Pacific rests on shared history, common values and cultural affinities for sport, family and religion. Pursuing Australia’s interests in an increasingly contested post-pandemic environment will require all the tools of statecraft, including using Australia’s considerable soft power.

Australia and the nations of the South Pacific share a deep love of sport. Sport doesn’t just build mutual respect and pride; it brings our region together through shared goals, heroes and achievements.

The launch of Australia’s sports diplomacy 2030 strategy was a recognition by the government that Australia has an opportunity to use its sporting strengths to support the sporting aspirations of its Pacific neighbours in a way that generates goodwill—and advances Australia’s national interests.

Rugby union is the Pacific’s sport of choice.

Rugby dominates conversations and the media and is played on every surface of lush tropical grass available on the islands. Simon Raiwalui, a former Fijian rugby captain and current coach of the Fijian men’s national team, the Flying Fijians, once said: ‘It’s the blessing and the curse of Pacific rugby. You can pick up a touch rugby union game on the street and you’ll find potential national team players.’

Australia’s kinship with the Pacific through rugby union is a diplomatic asset that other global actors and sporting codes cannot currently match. Players of Pacific heritage will have a prominent role with the Wallabies at this year’s Rugby World Cup in France—the third biggest global sporting event. Many Pacific rugby fans support the Wallabies and engage with our teams through social media, and most have an Australian club they follow with fervour.

Rugby is deeply intertwined with Pacific nations’ political and military elite. It has been customary for prime ministers and even kings, as is the case in Tonga, to simultaneously hold executive positions in their country’s rugby union governing body.

In Fiji, former prime minister Frank Bainimarama was also president of Fiji Rugby Union, and he personally appointed Fiji’s deputy armed forces commander, Humphrey Tawake, as Fiji Rugby’s chairman. New Prime Minister Sitiveni Rabuka represented Fiji in rugby union, and it is expected he will also become an office holder in Fiji Rugby Union.

During a joint press conference with Australian Foreign Minister Penny Wong on the margins of February’s Pacific Islands Forum leaders’ retreat, Rabuka quoted Nelson Mandela, saying: ‘Sport … has the power to unite people in a way that little else does.’ He told Wong that while Fiji and Australia were bound together by geography, ‘it is sport that brings our people together’. Rabuka also reaffirmed that Fiji Rugby wanted to strengthen its partnership with Rugby Australia and the Australian government.

In 2021, the Department of Foreign Affairs and Trade and Rugby Australia entered the Australian Pacific Rugby Union Partnership under DFAT’s multimillion-dollar PacificAus Sports program. The scheme’s stated aim is to create opportunities for Australian and Pacific athletes to train, play and grow together. Australian diplomats in the Pacific are also keenly aware that rugby union opens doors and is a very useful tool in achieving strategic policy outcomes.

In 2022, the Australian government, backed by Rugby Australia, was a key player in enabling Fiji’s entry into the southern hemisphere’s premier professional rugby tournament. Australia’s financial support helped secure the entry of a men’s team into Super Rugby Pacific and a women’s team into Australia’s Super W competition. Members of Fiji’s elite and Australian diplomats are now ever-present figures at Fijian home matches, where the PacificAus Sports logo dominates on-field advertising.

Rugby Australia has been tasked by DFAT with delivering a series of sports diplomacy activities across the Pacific to amplify the PacificAus Sports message of ‘friends through sport’. Rugby Australia staff, players and coaches, along with colleagues from Oceania Rugby who partner with Rugby Australia on key projects, regularly visit the Pacific to support diplomatic events, deliver coaching clinics and contribute to sport-for-development initiatives such as Get into Rugby PLUS, a flagship program that pairs the learning of life skills with rugby to promote positive behaviour and gender equality and to prevent violence against women, girls and boys.

To promote gender equality across the region, DFAT directs its PacificAus Sports partners to provide opportunities for Pacific women and girls to take their places as champions in both sport and their communities. Using the common language of rugby, PacificAus Sports is arguably succeeding where previous DFAT gender investments have stalled.

The success of the Fijiana Drua is transforming gender norms on and off the field. After winning the 2022 Super W competition in their inaugural season, the Fijiana returned home as household names and heroes. Provincial chiefs and villages greeted the players with traditional welcome ceremonies and sevusevu, a cultural tradition that had until then been reserved for men only. A record number of women’s and girls’ teams are now showcasing their talents across the Pacific. The CEOs of Fiji, Tonga and Samoa rugby unions have reported unprecedented growth and community support for women playing rugby. In Fiji, schoolgirls’ rugby has grown from 12 to 81 teams—a remarkable feat, given that just months earlier many female players faced strong resistance from their communities for wanting to play rugby.

Australia is not the only country seeking to capitalise on the Pacific’s love of the sport. China has become more adept at using the subtle areas of cooperation in the Pacific traditionally dominated by Australia. In 2019, Beijing gave Solomon Islands a $70 million grant to construct a new stadium capable of hosting this year’s Pacific Games. China has also been working quietly with the Samoan government to redevelop sporting venues across the capital Apia.

Australia responded to China’s stadium diplomacy with its own $17 million grant to help Solomon Islands host the Pacific Games. The funding will assist with the refurbishment of school dormitories, which will be used for athlete accommodation. After the games, the dormitories will be repurposed for senior school students from remote villages who need board in Honiara.

The depth of Australia’s presence in the Pacific sporting landscape is something that China can’t match with surface-level investments. The people of Tonga still celebrate the anniversary of their team defeating the Wallabies 16 to 11 in Brisbane in 1973. Fijians reminisce proudly about the spectacular rugby match in which their players flung overhead passes and made clever switches of attack that bewildered the Australians at the Sydney Cricket Ground in 1952. Our shared sporting history is a great equaliser that brings our region together.

However, demand for sports infrastructure is mounting in the Pacific. This is particularly true in Fiji, which is now the permanent home of men’s and women’s Super Rugby teams and two world-class, medal-winning international rugby sevens teams. A visit to Fiji to experience the electric atmosphere of a live rugby game is on the bucket list of most fans. However, Fiji lacks a modern stadium capable of welcoming larger crowds for regular international events.

Fijian leaders would undoubtedly welcome sports infrastructure investment from Australia. Modern grounds and training facilities would ensure a more equitable playing field between Australian and Pacific teams. The flow-on economic benefits from sports tourism would greatly assist Fiji’s post-pandemic economic recovery. The refurbishment of stadium facilities would be a low-cost, high-visibility win for an international donor seeking to increase its presence in the Pacific.

Australia is embarking on a decade at the centre stage of world sport with rugby playing the starring role. Australia will host the 2027 men’s Rugby World Cup and 2029 women’s Rugby World Cup. Rugby sevens will also be played at the 2026 Melbourne Commonwealth Games and the 2032 Brisbane Olympics.

A golden decade of rugby will create a significant opportunity for Australia to build on its PacificAus Sports success and invest in pathways and infrastructure that will deliver increased opportunities for Pacific nations to participate—and benefit economically—as world sport descends on the region.

In rugby union, it’s said you should always play to your advantage. With the right investment, the government can leverage this once-in-a-generation opportunity and leave a legacy for Australian diplomacy, rugby and PacificAus Sports in the Pacific.

Australia must be prepared for an undemocratic outcome in Fiji’s election

The looming Fijian election is, like the 2018 poll, another battle between two former coup leaders. The political histories of both Frank Bainimarama and Sitiveni Rabuka are well known in local and foreign security circles, and some are concerned another coup is on the cards. The outcome of the 14 December vote, and any subsequent power grabs, could dramatically shift regional partnerships and influence. Should Fiji’s election again be plagued by undemocratic practices, Australia will have to balance its close friendship with the country and its commitment to democracy in the region, seeking not to sacrifice one for the other.

After seizing power in 2006, Bainimarama chose not to face the polls until 2014. He won by a comfortable margin, but 2018 was a very close race. Sometimes long-term leaders find it hard to walk away from the job; former Samoan prime minister Tuila’epa Sa’ilele Malielegaoi is the most recent example in the region, having refused to go quietly after losing an election last year. And despite Rabuka, Bainimarama’s biggest competition, publicly stating he would not (again) attempt to seize power by force, Bainimarama hasn’t made the same commitment.

This is set to be the toughest election yet for Bainimarama. Although there are no reliable pre-election polls, it’s looking like Rabuka might win, forming a coalition with Fiji’s National Federation Party. The divide between Bainimarama and Rabuka used to be all about race, but Rabuka has consistently tried to demonstrate a change in his stance on Indo-Fijian rights since the 1987 coup. This year, it’s about social issues and government services. And a little bit about who can make the best TikTok video.

The results of the election and the subsequent handling of those results will further test Fiji’s democracy, and the commitment of security forces to the rule of law. A disputed election, possible post-election instability and the potential for political leaders to seek military interference would be an important test for the Republic of Fiji Military Forces, which originally brought Bainimarama to power. The RFMF is constitutionally responsible to ‘ensure at all times the security, defence and well-being of Fiji and all Fijians’. Their role may be critical in enforcing a democratic outcome, or protecting Fijians from the political jousting of the elites.

Giving us some relief from fears of a military-led intervention, this week the commander of the RFMF, Major General Jone Kalouniwai, encouraged all RFMF personnel to vote in the election, noting how important the result would be for Fiji’s future. In no uncertain terms, Kalouniwai stressed honouring the democratic process and respecting the outcome of the poll.

While a coup or a military-supported hold on power seems unlikely, this is still shaping up to be a messy election. Already, Bainimarama’s ‘free and fair’ approach to elections is being pushed to the limit. In November, prominent Indo-Fijian lawyer Richard Naidu was found guilty of contempt of court for pointing out a spelling mistake in a court document—a charge brought against him by Bainimarama’s closest political ally, Attorney-General Aiyaz Sayed-Khaiyum. Naidu is now facing the possibility of jail time. And this week, a deputy leader from Rabuka’s People’s Alliance party was arrested for alleged vote buying. It appears Bainimarama will use the law and the government system as best he can to maintain his loosening grip on power up to and into the election.

Australia and the West need to be prepared for an undemocratic outcome. After the 2006 coup, Australia, New Zealand and the US punished Bainimarama’s new government by restricting some official travel and suspending some aid funding. Defence cooperation was cut off. Spurned, Bainimarama looked north for new partners such as China and Russia to limit the impact of sanctions. The Pacific Islands Forum (with a hard push by Australia and New Zealand) took a firm stance on Fiji after the 2006 coup, suspending it from the forum from 2009 to 2014.

The regional reaction to this election—voiced through the PIF—will be key. Pacific island nations have continued to develop their own styles of governing and their own styles of engaging with each other. A culture of non-interference, and an unwillingness to be placed under scrutiny themselves, could preclude an overly critical response to a Fiji coup—particularly one that occurred without widespread unrest, like in 2006—or any undemocratic activity surrounding elections. And the PIF can’t afford to lose a key member like Fiji, especially after the exit of Kiribati earlier this year. But even if the PIF doesn’t impose harsh sanctions on undemocratic processes, it is still a forum for dialogue and engagement, and for forming a regional stance.

Australia deeply values its friendship with Fiji, and ‘punishing’ it at a state-to-state level would have repercussions. Bainimarama could again turn back to China to fill any void left by Australia. But ignoring undemocratic processes in the name of a bilateral relationship would mean turning our back on democratic principles and the Fijian people’s right to choose—and could damage relationships with other powerbrokers in Fiji.

Australia needs to uphold democratic principles and values in the Pacific while—if at all possible—maintaining a positive relationship with all parties in Fiji. The best way for Australia to appropriately engage in any possible undemocratic outcome in Fiji is to respond on a regional level, in line with a Pacific-led PIF response. It should seek the support of other Pacific island countries and New Zealand to come to a fair response, advocating the importance of respecting free and fair elections. All partners should look to approach a restorative dialogue together. And if there is another coup, consequences such as restrictions on travel or trade should be decided on in the PIF by its members, not by countries acting alone. That will be tricky, especially if PIF members are reticent to take the lead. But regional and respectful diplomacy is the answer for Australia in this election. With any luck, it’ll be the answer to a question that’s never asked.

Chinese foreign minister’s visit helped erode Pacific media freedom

The first stop of Chinese Foreign Minister Wang Yi’s recent Pacific trip was Solomon Islands, where journalists have been complaining about their treatment since the government swapped diplomatic allegiance to Beijing from Taipei in 2019. Media freedom has deteriorated, and journalists say leaders are now taking their cues from China.

Two of the country’s most senior journalists, Dorothy Wickham and Georgina Kekea, both board members of the Media Association of Solomon Islands, called for a boycott of the official press event when it became clear that only two questions would be allowed—one from a Chinese journalist and one from a Solomon Islands journalist.

Wickham said journalists protested against the limit because it meant they couldn’t get the information they needed to do their job to inform the people.

The Chinese delegation’s fourth stop was Fiji, where journalists are often subjected to intimidation and even imprisonment when they are overly critical of the government. The 2022 World Press Freedom Index labelled Fiji as the worst nation in the Pacific for journalists and placed it at 102nd position out of 180 countries.

Local freelance journalist Lice Movono said there was a lot of secrecy from the very beginning of the visit and heavy security with no access to the Chinese delegation.

‘To be a journalist in Fiji is to be worried about imprisonment all the time. Journalism is criminalised. You can be jailed or the company you work for can be fined a crippling amount that can shut down the operation … But to see foreign nationals pushing you back in your own country, that was a different level,’ she said.

Movono said she had never experienced anything like the treatment from the Chinese officials and described it as being treated like a criminal.

She said when Wang met the secretary-general of the Pacific Islands Forum, Henry Puna, during the visit, she watched as visiting officials tried to remove an ABC cameraman.

She said the Chinese official told him, ‘You’re not Fijian; you’re from the ABC and not welcome.’

Since then, Movono said she’s been trolled and abused on Twitter from seemingly Chinese Twitter accounts.

The ABC’s Stephen Dziedzic said he was surprised by and unprepared for the hostility towards the media. He described how a member of the Fijian military put a hand on his right arm at the joint news conference with Prime Minister Frank Bainimarama, urging him to stop asking questions.

But in a surprise move afterwards, the Chinese ambassador to Fiji agreed to take questions and gave the first confirmation that the multilateral security treaty had been rejected by Pacific leaders.

Dziedzic said he didn’t feel manhandled, but it was a fraught and difficult situation. ‘It was ridiculous they didn’t take questions,’ he said.

The Fijian Media Association voiced its concerns, with General Secretary Stanley Simpson saying this sort of media treatment wasn’t limited just to Wang’s visit.

Simpson said that when US Secretary of State Antony Blinken visited Fiji in February, only one media organisation was chosen to ask a single question during the entire visit.

In Vanuatu, which has a history of government pressure on the media, the Chinese delegation held a press conference, but again with no questions.

Australian freelancer Ginny Stein, who had been hired to file for China Global Television Network, the Guardian Australia and Agence France-Presse, says she was initially told the press conference was only for local media but was allowed to attend along with fellow Australian freelancer Ben Bohane.

Bohane says he’s concerned that weeks later local journalists are still waiting for details of the agreements signed with China to be made publicly available. He said nothing had been published yet.

Samoa has traditionally been the model of press freedom in the region, but it has slipped from 21st place in 2021 to 45th place in the 2022 World Press Freedom Index.

Alexander Rheeney is editor of the Samoa Observer, a newspaper that’s held in high regard throughout the region for its independence. He raised the issue of access to the Chinese delegation directly with the Chinese embassy on the Thursday before Wang flew into Samoa.

But they said there would be no joint press conference or even a one-on-one interview with the foreign minister. Rheeney said he got the impression that the Chinese were in control of the whole state visit and protocols including media queries.

In Kiribati, the Chinese delegation made a brief five-hour stop despite a strict Covid-19 lockdown. Local journalist Rimon Rimon said the government had been coerced by Beijing to accommodate the visit.

Rimon said the government had been very secretive and people were frustrated and angry after only learning about the trip from a post on Facebook. He wasn’t allowed to ask questions and was told to stop filming by police outside the president’s house while the meeting was underway inside.

Rimon said he believed the order came from the Kiribati government in agreement with the Chinese delegation. He said Kiribati and China signed 10 agreements during the brief stop, but none has been made public and he’s been unable to obtain details of them.

While the Chinese delegation was exempt from strict Covid-19 border controls, about 20 high-ranking officials including the president, his advisers and police had to go into quarantine for a week after the visit.

In Tonga, the biggest Pacific debtor to China, the media was again blocked.

Veteran journalist Kalafi Moala, a long-time advocate of media freedom in the Pacific, said there was no briefing and no press conference but media was allowed access to take photos.

Papua New Guinean journalists faced the same treatment. The timing of visit raised some local concerns because the government was in caretaker mode in the lead-up to the election.

Two questions were permitted at a scheduled joint press conference—one for local media and another for the visiting Chinese media. However, Wang later allowed the resident ABC correspondent, Natalie Whiting, one question.

The Chinese success in controlling the media on this trip ended in Timor-Leste. Newly elected President Jose Ramos Horta, a long-time supporter of a free media, won a concession to enable local journalists to ask three questions.

Australian media consultant Bob Howarth, a former adviser to the Timorese media, described the pushback against Chinese secrecy as a press freedom breakthrough. ‘Journalists there are very active, with the union and the press council working together … Most Pacific countries have weak press councils and don’t have unions,’ he said.

Taiwan clash in Fiji reveals China’s strategy of intimidation

The 10th of October is a national day for both Fiji and Taiwan. For decades, Taipei’s trade office in Fiji has celebrated its event peacefully and respectfully with support from the host community in Suva. But not this year.

The Chinese embassy’s annoyance with the event became so personal and so physical that one Taiwanese diplomat ended the night in hospital with concussion. The Taiwanese office lodged a diplomatic protest with the Fijian foreign affairs ministry, which was met by a counter-complaint from the Chinese embassy to the Fijian police claiming violence to its staff.

There are many aspects to this story that deserve unpicking, but the two that attracted my attention were the time that elapsed before the incident became publicly known and the claims that it provides further evidence of China’s ‘wolf warrior’ diplomacy.

In prudent deference to its host, Taiwan typically celebrates its national day some days before the 10th in Fiji. This year’s Fiji Day was especially important because it marked the 50th anniversary of Fijian independence, so Taiwan National Day was held on the 8th at the luxurious Grand Pacific Hotel. Two Chinese officials reportedly attended the event and took photographs of Taiwanese delegates. They were apparently asked to leave by a Taiwanese official and allegedly later assaulted and seriously injured him.

Strangely, the fracas took some 10 days to be reported in the media—any media. The path to becoming something of a global media sensation began with an 18 October post by Graham Davis on his Grubsheet Feejee blogsite. It seems the mainstream media picked it up through David Robie’s ‘Asia Pacific Report’ and it then went across the Pacific and around the world.

Why this incident took so long to find its legs is a mystery. It was ignored by both of Fiji’s main newspapers until the story acquired world notoriety, and even then it was treated very gingerly. Clearly, there was little appetite for covering an occurrence that seemed too hot to handle.

It’s not clear that Taiwan’s Suva office wanted to court media attention, but that may have been due to a desire to give Fiji’s diplomatic channel the opportunity to protect its interest and provide appropriate redress. For its part, the Chinese embassy attempted to deny the affair’s diplomatic status by referring its side of the event to the police as a criminal matter.

Significantly, the counter-complaint did not become public until after the incident had achieved international notoriety. Police confirmed to Fiji Village reporter Vijay Narayan when he followed up the international story that they had opened an investigation into the Chinese embassy’s complaint. The next day it was reported that the Fiji Police Force had handballed the matter to the foreign affairs ministry, where it was reportedly resolved ‘amicably’ between the two parties.

So why did the matter come to light at all? Davis himself notes that the story was authenticated to him by ‘multiple diplomatic sources in Suva’ who were disturbed by the incident and the attempts to hush it up. There was concern that throwing a cloak of invisibility over such behaviour only emboldened Beijing’s increasingly aggressive approach to diplomacy and disrespect for host nation norms and laws.

My article on ‘kowtow diplomacy’ after the 2018 APEC in Port Moresby looked at the apparent cultural insensitivity of China’s diplomacy in the Pacific Islands region. My argument was that Chinese diplomats were less concerned with regional sensitivities than with the style and objectives of diplomacy that would win them favour in Beijing.

The Suva assault only reinforces my view. Despite conflicting details of how the affray unfolded, there was clearly a breakdown in the cautious professionalism of Chinese diplomats typical of earlier times.

Other recent assessments attribute this more aggressive diplomatic posture to a new culture within the ministry promoted by the Chinese Communist Party under direction from President Xi Jinping.

There was some social media commentary that sought to dismiss the incident at the Grand Pacific as an ‘insignificant’ (even before the amicable resolution). Such apologies fly in the face of the diplomatic sentiment in Suva that the incident deserved public ventilation.

The intimidatory actions that the Taiwanese officials found objectionable—photographing guests and seeking to record the presence of local notables—were not novel or unfamiliar. We have seen these tactics in Australia.

By filming Chinese students exercising their rights under Australian law to assemble and protest, among other surveillance activities, the representatives of the People’s Republic of China convey the clear message that people’s actions could be used against them here in Australia or against their families in China.

Even Australians of Chinese ancestry are loath to be seen near demonstrations protesting PRC actions or policies because of an expectation that such events will be recorded for possible retribution.

This provocative behaviour is unacceptable here and it’s clear to see why the Taiwanese trade office, after decades of peaceful national day celebrations, found PRC intimidation unacceptable in Fiji.

And embroiling Fiji in its dispute with Taiwan is scarcely improving China’s relations with the first country in the Pacific to host a Chinese embassy or easing tensions with the Chinese community in Fiji.

We have seen how the perception that the PRC and its agents are actively undermining national interests in Australia has cast unfounded slurs on the Australian Chinese community.

China has an important role to play in dealing with transnational crime and economic vandalism in the Pacific islands region. However, this requires trust that the PRC is an honest player that is respectful of the laws and norms of its hosts in the region.

Stepping up to the UN: Australia’s peacekeeping deployment with Fiji

During last week’s visit to Fiji, Prime Minister Scott Morrison said that Australian peacekeepers would soon be joining Fijian peacekeepers in the Golan Heights as part of the United Nations Disengagement Observer Force (UNDOF).

The announcement doesn’t come as a complete surprise, but the timing is a little odd considering Morrison’s thinly veiled criticism of the UN system in his speech earlier this month at the Lowy Institute. The idea of joint Australian–Fijian peacekeeping deployments was agreed to in the Fiji–Australia Vuvale Partnership, signed by Morrison and Fijian Prime Minister Frank Bainimarama in September.

There’s also been an increasing interest in joint military cooperation since the announcement of Australia’s role in redeveloping the Black Rock training facility in Nadi, which will act as a regional training hub for military and police peacekeeping.

But this is the first time specifics have been revealed, such as the mission that personnel will be deployed to.

Morrison’s statement—made to Australian players in a locker room at the PM’s XIII rugby league match in Suva—indicated that Australian troops would be sent to ‘train and support’ the Fijian contingent deployed to Syria. At the end of August, Fiji had 194 personnel deployed there. There’s no indication yet of how many Australians will be going.

UNDOF has been mandated since 1974 to monitor the ceasefire between Israel and Syria in the Golan Heights on the Israel–Syria border. Fiji has deployed troops to UNDOF since 2013 and continues to make a sizeable contribution today. It has maintained its commitment despite an incident in which 45 Fijian peacekeepers were held hostage by militants in 2014.

Australia has made contributions in the region through another longstanding mission, the UN Truce Supervision Organisation. UNTSO was created to monitor armistice agreements in the region. Australia also appears to have deployed a staff officer to UNDOF in May, perhaps an indication that preparations were being made for future engagement.

It’s not clear yet what form the joint engagement will take. A number of different styles of co-deployments have been used in recent years that could provide a template. Australian personnel worked with a unit of Japanese engineers at the UN Mission in South Sudan. Another good example is the co-deployment of peacekeepers from Timor-Leste with a Portuguese contingent to the UN Interim Force in Lebanon, a partnership which provided a significant capacity-building opportunity for the Timorese. European nations regularly participate in joint deployments, allowing them to share the burden and responsibilities of contributing to peacekeeping missions.

Fiji has extensive peacekeeping experience and has been contributing significant numbers of peacekeepers since its first deployment in 1978, particularly in the Middle East. In contrast, Australia’s contributions to peacekeeping have on the wane for some time. Morrison made no mention of peacekeeping in his recent address to the UN General Assembly, which suggests that it isn’t high on our priority list for engaging in UN activities.

Australia’s Pacific step-up is at the heart of this move. A joint deployment like this allows Australia to demonstrate its commitment to the Pacific region and at the same time fulfil its desire for greater defence cooperation and interoperability with the Fijian military in a live mission setting.

In this context, it’s important to ask what capabilities Australia will bring that Fiji hasn’t already developed over its long participation in UN peacekeeping. Confirmation of the exact nature of Australia’s contribution will shed some light on this key question. Its effectiveness will depend on how the Australian contribution is embedded into the existing Fijian contingent and how its command structure may change as a result.

For Australia, there are advantages in deploying peacekeepers to this mission and in this manner. Australian forces will benefit from working with their Fijian counterparts in an environment in which Fiji has had a sustained involvement. Australia’s familiarity with that part of the world through its commitment to UNTSO would also be a pull factor for the decision to deploy to the Golan Heights mission.

Deploying to peacekeeping missions also allows nations to be seen as good international actors. In recent years, Australia—like many developed countries—has been extremely reluctant to deploy to peacekeeping missions because of the risk of losing personnel. That’s a danger that comes with a political cost to any government that chooses to contribute to a UN mission, and many nations don’t see the deployment of their personnel as worth the risk. The co-deployment with Fiji shows that Australia is seeking ways of engaging in peacekeeping that benefit it and the UN, and also mitigate at least some of the risk.

A number of details still need to be filled in about this joint deployment. However, it should be seen as an opportunity to develop a model for future Australian peacekeeping engagement. The emphasis should be on being smarter and more innovative than before to allow for greater Australian contributions to UN peacekeeping. A well-structured and well-tailored co-deployment has the benefit of enabling Australia to demonstrate its commitment to the region while also fostering people-to-people links and enhanced defence cooperation.

Bainimarama visit to show state of Pacific family ties

My colleague Graeme Dobell declared recently that ‘Scott Morrison’s embrace of the “Pacific family” is goddamn genius.’

I have expressed a more cautionary view that claiming a place in the Pacific family could have unintended consequences that might complicate Canberra’s regional relations.

As tempted as I am to claim vindication in the wake of the political fireworks at the recent Pacific Islands Forum leaders’ meeting in Tuvalu, there are reasons for not rushing too quickly to dismiss the Pacific family notion.

We’ll get a better idea of the state of the familial relationship when Fijian Prime Minister Frank Bainimarama visits Canberra to meet with Morrison later this week.

Clearly the gambit wasn’t a political success at Funafuti and, arguably, it served to intensify the regional pushback on Australia’s climate change policy.

Solomon Islands opposition leader Matthew Wale pointedly used familial expectations to underscore his disappointment. ‘Pacific islanders were hoping for sincerity when we hear ‘we’re family’. We were mistaken’, he said.

Wale’s was not a lone voice. There were reports that Morrison’s constant references to being part of the Pacific family were offensive given his unwillingness to support the family consensus.

Even Australian critics of the government’s lukewarm position on climate change at the forum piled on, with headlines like ‘Morrison’s monumental dysfunctional Pacific “family” failure’.

Meanwhile, back in Australia, Deputy Prime Minister Michael McCormack’s comment that islanders could survive climate change by picking Australian fruit suggested nothing short of a paternalistic view that they should be grateful for an allowance for doing the chores.

It could be argued that Morrison was simply guilty of over-reach. Taking what started as a bilateral rapprochement with Fiji, he rebranded it as his ‘step-up’ policy with a warmer regional image of inclusiveness.

Morrison’s ‘Pacific family’ motif grew out of a meeting with Bainimarama in January. Using vuvale, an iTaukei word meaning ‘family’, the two PMs announced the ‘Fiji––Australia Vuvale Partnership’ to enhance their long-troubled bilateral relationship.

The extent to which even the bilateral familial ties have survived Tuvalu reasonably intact might be questioned. Bainimarama appeared to downgrade the relationship, saying, ‘I thought Morrison was a good friend of mine; apparently not.’

There will be a couple of occasions this month to see how much rebalancing might be needed to recover friendship much less kinship.

Bainimarama is due to make his first official visit to Australia since the 2006 coup that put him in power, so that he and Morrison can see what a working party has done to implement their vuvale partnership.

Perhaps more telling could be an appearance at the UN General Assembly at the end of the month, when Bainimarama will report on climate change progress along with other regional leaders.

It’s difficult to see how this won’t rekindle the passions of Tuvalu unless the Canberra meeting achieves an accommodation that the leaders’ meeting in Funafuti failed to find.

Defenders of the Pacific family concept may see criticism as one-sided, but was there ever another side? It was a bilateral initiative unilaterally extended to a region asked to accept it in good faith.

The heat in Tuvalu demonstrated that the region wouldn’t accept it sola fide but wanted something to justify Australia’s claim of family membership.

Nevertheless, many regional leaders seemed to have it both ways. They appeared willing to hope that a ‘family’ tie would deliver positive regional outcomes but then used it as a cudgel against Australia for failing to meet their expectations of it.

So, was there a double standard here?

The island leaders were certainly well within their rights to criticise Australia for not behaving like they might expect of a member of the Pacific family. It was the Morrison government that created these expectations.

Yet, the elephant was sitting in the same room with Morrison and Bainimarama when they met in Suva in January to agree to the vuvale partnership. It was there again when Foreign Minister Marise Payne met with Bainimarama in June to further the family rapprochement.

Opportunities, both bilateral and regional, existed to find a way within the Pacific family to avoid the ‘domestic’ punch-up that was the Tuvalu meeting, but somehow no Dutch uncle emerged from the island side to find a family-friendly workaround to deal with the imbroglio.

Quite the reverse. The draft Tuvalu declaration (subsequently revised as the Kainaki II declaration for urgent climate change action now) seemed to be crafted to ensure a punch-up given the region’s awareness of Australia as a global coal producer and the Morrison government’s political alignment with the industry.

The Morrison government now must confront a serious post-Tuvalu image challenge. Has the ‘Pacific family’ badge been too badly damaged?

The evidence, both bilaterally and regionally, suggests that a rethink is necessary.

Bainimarama’s public ire immediately after the forum was such that he revived his 2010 suggestion that Australia should not even be in the regional forum—a thought later echoed, albeit more softly, by Kiribati’s former president, Anote Tong.

History may support a long view that Australia’s relationship with the region will survive the current quarrel, but this doesn’t guarantee a kindred relationship.

Perhaps Australia should concentrate on being the ‘partner of choice’ or a proper best friend?

As I noted out in my review of Chinese and Australian soft power in the region, Australia has depth and reach that China can’t match even if, occasionally, island elites like to portray Beijing as a better friend than Canberra in the heat of the moment.

But familiar is not familial. If Morrison wants to make membership of the Pacific family a reality and thus an act of genius, the family has to want to see us in this light.

For my part, despite my caution, I hope Dobell might be right—someday.

Whither the Pacific Islands Forum post-Pohnpei?

Image courtesy of Twitter user @ForumSEC

The absence of Fiji’s Prime Minister Frank Bainimarama from the recent Pacific Islands Forum’s Leaders’ Meeting in Pohnpei wasn’t a surprise: he hasn’t attended a Forum Leaders’ Meeting since 2007. But taking away the commission of his stand-in, Foreign Minister Ratu Inoke Kubuabola, while he was sitting in the absent PM’s chair at the Leaders’ Meeting was a surprise. So too was Fiji’s almost simultaneous announcement to withdraw support of the agreed legal text of the economic integration treaty PACER Plus sponsored by the Forum.

While each might have been an isolated event, these developments are consistent with a malaise eating away at the unity of the Forum as an effective regional body. After 45 years, the PIF is showing signs of a deepening confusion regarding its regional purpose. From its creation in 1971, the Forum’s struggled with whether it should be a political club of leaders setting the regional agenda or an aid implementing agency.

The 1972 Forum leaders had a bet each way: they decided to retain a club-like institutional informality, with annual meetings for themselves, while establishing a treaty-based organisation headquartered in Suva to administer aid projects. This inherent conflict of interest was largely glossed over for several decades: Australia and New Zealand sat in the Forum Leaders’ Meeting setting regional priorities, while their officials oversighted the implementation of aid projects through the organisation’s arm, where they were the principal donors.

Australia took an activist approach: it used the Forum to address perceived regional state incapacity to deal with terrorism and the misuse of sovereignty by some member states. The most notable intervention was the RAMSI mission in the Solomon Islands in 2003.

An ambitious long-term strategy for regional integration under the Forum was formulated in 2005. The ‘Pacific Plan’ was expected develop regional approaches that would be implemented by the Forum’s member states or regional agencies.

The 2005 Forum Leaders’ Meeting opened a treaty for signature to make the Forum an inter-governmental organisation, with the Leaders’ Meeting its decision-making arm. All eligible states signed the PIF Treaty almost immediately. But it’s still not in force more than a decade later. Dissatisfaction with the outcomes of the Pacific Plan resulted in the less ambitious ‘Framework for Pacific Regionalism‘ in 2014.

Last year the Forum’s unresolved duality became critical when the Third Pacific Islands Development Forum Summit of Leaders threw down the gauntlet regarding Australia’s and New Zealand’s role in the Forum, through its Suva Declaration on Climate Change. The following week, Forum Leaders endorsed the Suva Declaration, but with qualifications that worried island leaders; Australia and New Zealand didn’t feel obligated to follow this agreement in the Paris climate change summit. That stance cost Australia and New Zealand support within the Forum, as well European allies: they’d appreciated the Suva Declaration’s assistance for their strong climate change position at Paris.

This year political salt was rubbed into this regional wound when the 4th PIDF Summit endorsed the idea of a regional climate change treaty, with a provision aimed at Australia: it’d ban new or expanded coalmines. The gesture was symbolic: Australia wouldn’t be bound by it, not being a member of the PIDF and unlikely to join the treaty.

Overtly there’s no rivalry between the Forum and PIDF. But the raison d’être for the PIDF stems from Prime Minister Bainimarama’s determination to reduce or eliminate Australia and New Zealand’s decision-making role in the Forum. Institutionally there’s no contest between the bodies financially or politically. The Forum’s budget is in the tens of millions of dollars. The PIDF’s budget, relying on voluntary contributions, is said to be well under a million dollars.

Heads of Government absences from the Forum Leaders’ Meeting are generally very few. But the PIDF Summit this year only drew three heads of government. Some of the success the PIDF has claimed in giving a regional platform to business and civil society increasingly appears to be covered by the Forum. This shadowing of the PIDF by the Forum was also evident in Pohnpei when French Polynesia and New Caledonia were accorded full membership in the Forum Leaders’ Meeting.

Where the Forum goes after Pohnpei will partly depend on how Prime Minster Bainimarama chooses to shape relations between Fiji and its traditional friends and their role in the Forum. The PIDF still hasn’t been brought into the Council of Regional Organisations in the Pacific, the principal inter-agency mechanism for cooperation.

As the Prime Minister is now Foreign Minister, the means by which Fiji had re-established its participation with the Forum seems to be more vulnerable. Last week Prime Minister Bainimarama told the UN General Assembly that Fiji was ‘in the process of re-evaluating’ its relationships with the rest of the world and that in assuming the position of Foreign Minister he ‘intended to steadily reform this Ministry and refine certain aspects of our foreign policy. To give it a new direction and a renewed sense of purpose.’

If Bainimarama continues his personal boycott and another minister takes the Leader’s chair for Fiji at future Forum meetings, there’ll be a loss of corporate memory and perhaps less political support back in Suva. But not everything depends on Fiji or its view of what a healthy Forum might look like. Much will hang on the attitudes and views of the other members of the Forum, including Australia and how seriously they see the need for serious reform of the Forum, particularly its incompatible dual purposes. It’ll be fascinating to see how this plays out before Samoa hosts the Forum next year.

Pacific future politics

Inadvertently, Fiji has done Australia a favour in the diplomatic duel over what the South Pacific future should look like. Granted, you have to work hard to find positives in the arid argument that has reverberated around the region for eight years. The silver lining is that the contest Fiji has launched with the status-quo power, Australia, isn’t going to ebb away. It might be politer, but the debate lives. The destructive phase has finished. Time for some creation. That’s good for the Islands—and can be good for Australia. Canberra is going to have to pay attention and think new thoughts.

The status-quo power needs to work harder for its top-dog status, to deliver what the Islands need. Fiji will make it difficult for Australia to lapse into another period of comfortable South Pacific amnesia—set policy to cruise control and turn to Asia. Read more

Australia and Fiji go from duel to dance

Q: How do porcupines make love?

A: Carefully.

The joke sets up the Australia’s ‘new era of partnership and prosperity’ with Fiji. The goal is to avoid being impaled on the points while pursuing the pleasure. Fiji and Australia already have a lot of wounds to ignore as they embrace, carefully shifting from duel to dance. The dance will have elements of the old duel, with less overt slash and stab. But after eight years of nothing but duel, it’s back to ‘normal’ to explore what’s possible. Forget past pain to seek future gain. The new era of harmony, though, will be reached porcupine-fashion.

The embrace is cautious because the two nations have duelled for so long. Even as swords lower, the duel defines the starting point. The embrace of ‘normal’ is an attempt to think beyond the scars, yet the underlying reality of the duel persists. Much can be changed, and for the better. The new normal offers chances and the re-opening of channels that have been shut by both sides. Read more