Tag Archive for: Asian Century

Air/Sea/Land Battle

Armoured fighting vehicles of the Irish Guards as part of the British Army of the Rhine parked in a field during a summer exercise in Germany. Image courtesy of Imperial War Museum.

I spent September 1984 sleeping in German forests and barnyards. It was Exercise Lionheart and my regiment, the Royal Yeomanry, was providing rear area security for the British Army of the Rhine. Perhaps unsurprisingly, the battle was going to plan. We defended a bridge from attack by parachutists, fought spetsnaz Special Forces, and had a wonderful mess dinner wearing chain-mail, scarlet twill and spurs. Yes, in the middle of a war.

Eventually, once the enemy’s Operational Manoeuvre Group had been halted in its tracks, we switched to the offensive. Because we were the only reconnaissance unit remaining intact, our mission was to probe through a weak point and strike at the enemy’s rear. But D Squadron (North Irish Horse) lost first one Troop, then another, charging off down a road. My vehicles were the last remaining reserve. Looking at a map, I realised that by cutting through the forest I could by-pass the enemy defensive position and swing around to take them from behind. We swung through the trees before manoeuvring back and overwhelming the blocking force. The path was open! We’d penetrated through the enemy’s rear echelon. Colonel Jonathon later told me that my troop had penetrated to the most easterly point of the entire British army, and we were all very proud. Read more

Trade partnership competition: TPP vs RCEP

In the world of strategic affairs, competition is almost always a bad thing. Be it jostling over territory, contesting freedom of navigation or an outright arms race, strategic competition tends to be both costly and risky. In other domains, however, competition can be a very good thing. For example, in a market economy such as ours, competition leads to innovation and efficiency. What’s to be avoided between China and the United States is to be encouraged between Apple and Samsung.

In still other areas, competition is neither wholly good nor bad, but rather a complication to be managed. Asian trade diplomacy is such an area, where beneath the surface of the jumbled alphabet soup of Asia-Pacific regional forums there are competing agendas for trade liberalisation. Read more

Security challenges in the Asia-Pacific: a US perspective

President Barack Obama talks with Australian Prime Minister Julia Gillard, center, and her partner Tim Mathieson, during a cultural performance at the East Asia Summit dinner held at the Diamond Island Convention Center in Phnom Penh, Cambodia, Nov. 19, 2012. (Official White House Photo by Pete Souza)This is a shortened version of a longer paper presented to the Alliance 21 meeting in Washington. Abridgment courtesy of Natalie Sambhi.

The United States is prioritising a comprehensive engagement of the Asia-Pacific region. Whether this is called ‘rebalancing’ or not, the US requires growing trade, active but effective diplomacy, and sufficient military investment and presence to promote and preserve a peaceful and prosperous region. However, as I see it, the Asia-Pacific region is beset with at least three somewhat intertwined and hard security challenges: avoiding conflict with an authoritarian North Korea, growing tensions in the East and South China Seas, and managing a more assertive and rising China. While governments have to be concerned with far more than these security challenges, they pose some of the starkest threats to the dynamism of the Asia-Pacific region.

Focusing on China as the starkest long-term geostrategic challenge, many analysts in the US, Australia and the Asia-Pacific region might be quick to dismiss the threat posed by North Korea. But to do so would be a mistake. While conflict on the Korean Peninsula is still likely to be deterred, war is possible. Especially in the wake of recent provocations including the successful Unha-3 rocket and third nuclear tests, there’s no substitute for further strengthening deterrence and defence. Counter-provocation strategies need further attention and must be exercised to ensure better readiness. Read more

Obama’s second term: international challenges

Image courtesy of The White House.

Beyond domestic concerns, which I wrote about last week, the second term Obama administration has to address a number of challenging international issues. High on the list of serious problems is Iran’s continuing effort to achieve a nuclear weapon.

During the campaign, President Obama made it absolutely clear that he would not accept a nuclear armed Iran. In this, he was supported by Governor Romney. The sanctions that have been imposed by the West upon Iran do appear to be biting hard. As well, the Iranian currency has dropped alarmingly in value, given the international isolation of Tehran. Senior American policy makers believe that the Iranians may be about to come to the table to negotiate.

Should Iran be prepared to negotiate seriously, the US and its allies will need to be focused on a comprehensive solution to reduce tensions in the Middle East. This will be occurring at a time when Secretary of State, Hilary Clinton, approaches retirement and the next occupant of this critical role, possibly Senator John Kerry (Democrat, Massachusetts) will have big shoes to fill. Mrs Clinton has been the standout performer in the Obama Cabinet. Read more