The Strategy Behind Gallipoli

Release of Australian Strategic Policy Institute (ASPI) Strategic Insight No. 15/2005 

The Australian Strategic Policy Institute has today released a new ASPI Strategic Insight publication, which examines the strategic origins of the Gallipoli operation under the direction of the First Lord of the British Admiralty, Winston Churchill. 

Authored by Head of the School of Humanities and Social Sciences at ADFA in Canberra, Professor Robin Prior, and titled ‘The Strategy behind Gallipoli: Strategic decision-making in the Dardanelles and Gallipoli‘, the paper is the first in an occasional series of Strategic Insights re-examining key strategic policy decision-making in the past. 

“Although Churchill’s schemes were many and various they had one factor in common: they sought not just to defeat the German fleet but to use British naval power to shorten the duration of the war on land.”

“In the willingness of the British War Council and many of its advisors to believe that sea power could achieve this end, it lead to the grave underestimation by all concerned on the determination with which the enemy (Turkey) would defend its homeland.” Robin states.

Prior says that after the ill-fated naval attack in the Dardanelles that lasted from 19 February to 18 March, Prior notes that “Not for the first time during the First World War a strategic concept had come unstuck because the tactics required for its successful implementation were beyond the abilities of the force employed.”

In other words hopes of victory lay in the conviction that Turkish morale would crumble in the face of British sea power. When it did not the game was up.

The Insight assesses the strategic thinking behind the First World War Gallipoli operation that led a powerful British and Commonwealth army to defeat. 

Professor Prior also argues that an allied victory in Turkey would, in fact, have had little impact on the broad course of the war.

LAUNCH OF AUSTRALIAN STRATEGIC POLICY INSTITUTE’S (ASPI’S) STRATEGY REPORT ON AUSTRALIAN MARITIME SECUIRTY

The Australian Strategic Policy Institute (ASPI) has today released its report, Future unknown: The terrorist threat to Australian maritime security.

The threat of maritime terrorism has led to fundamental changes in the international maritime security environment. There have been major developments in the regulation of international shipping, particularly through the introduction of the International Ship and Port Facility Security code. 

A terrorist attack on Australia’s maritime interests is a credible scenario. We have high dependence on shipping and seaborne trade, and are adjacent to a region where terrorist groups have maritime capabilities. Australia still faces major institutional and operational challenges in reducing the risks of maritime terrorism. 

This report identifies where gaps exist in current arrangements. It includes recommendations to improve coordination between national and state agencies and to develop the national capacity to manage maritime security in the longer term. Other problem areas include the management of high-consequence dangerous goods, the management of the supply chain, and possible risks associated with the employment of large numbers of foreign seafarers on the Australian coast. 

Although the Federal Government has dramatically increased spending on counter-terrorism measures, so far few, if any additional resources have been provided for the prevention and response elements of maritime security in ports or close to shore. 

Several recommendations are made to redress this situation, including the establishment of a Maritime and Port Security Program, the strengthening of state water police, the establishment of state port police, and a specific role for the Australian Defence Force in ship and port security. 

The report was written by Dr Anthony Bergin and Dr Sam Bateman with Aldo Borgu, ASPI Operations and Capability Program Director contributing.

How is RAMSI faring? Progress, challenges, and lessons learned

Release of Australian Strategic Policy Institute (ASPI) Strategic Insight No. 14/2005

The Australian Strategic Policy Institute (ASPI) has today released a Strategic Insight publication on the Australian-led Regional Assistance Mission to Solomon Islands (RAMSI).

Authored by ASPI’s Strategy and International Program Director, Elsina Wainwright, the Insight analyses RAMSI’s progress, the challenges that lie ahead, and what lessons might be learned for state-building operations elsewhere.

In the more than twenty months since RAMSI deployed, the operation has had a number of important successes, including the restoration of a sense of security and the stabilisation of the Solomon Islands budget. Significant headway has been made in cleaning up the Royal Solomon Islands Police, and the life sentences for warlord Harold Keke and his associates are important milestones in the consolidation of the rule of law. 

But for all the progress, there have also been setbacks. Last year’s sniper murder of Australian Protective Service Officer Adam Dunning demonstrates all too starkly that some security issues persist. 

While RAMSI continues to enjoy great community support in Solomon Islands, the operation still has much work ahead of it. Addressing corruption, rebuilding institutions, and reviving the Solomon Islands economy are all difficult tasks, which will take a considerable number of years to complete. 

And many challenges lie ahead, including the implications of targeting some of the ‘big fish’ for corruption, the risk that Solomon Islands Parliament’s support for RAMSI might evaporate, and the need to manage ongoing ethnic tensions.

Iraq security strategy: a complex challenge

Release of Australian Strategic Policy Institute (ASPI) Strategic Insight No. 13/2005

The Australian Strategic Policy Institute has today released a new ASPI Strategic Insight publication, which examines the strategic objectives in the rebuilding of Iraqi security forces and security institutions.

Authored by Peter Khalil, the ASPI Strategic Insight identifies future security challenges that must be overcome to ensure the implementation of a successful security strategy in the months ahead.

“To be successful, the Coalition’s Iraq strategy must make progress on the political transition, security and economic reconstruction fronts.” Khalil says.

“A critical part of is strategy is the training of the Iraqi security forces and the capacity building of the security institutions that support them.”

Khalil states that: “During the next twelve months, Iraq’s greatest challenge and the key to its future as an independent, capable state with effective governing structures will be to create an atmosphere of stability and security in the country.”

The ASPI Strategic Insight assesses:

” The effectiveness of Iraqi security arrangements from May 2003 to January 2005
” The dissolution of the old Iraqi army and the rebuilding of the new Iraqi Armed Forces (IAF)
” Australia’s role in the training of the new Iraqi Army
” Changing Iraqi security arrangements throughout 2005 and future security challenges.

Peter Khalil, an Australian, worked as Director for National Security Policy with the Coalition Provisional Authority in Baghdad from August 2003 til May 2004. He has also spent time working at both DFAT and the Department of Defence. He is now a visiting fellow at the Saban Center for Middle East Policy at the Brookings Institution in Washington DC. He has published op-ed pieces recently in the New York Times and the Australian on Iraq issues.

Time for a new defence white paper

Release of Australian Strategic Policy Institute (ASPI) Strategic Insight No. 12/2005

The Australian Strategic Policy Institute has today released a new ASPI Strategic Insight publication calling on the government to develop a new defence white paper.

Authored by ASPI’s Acting Director, Peter Jennings, the ASPI Strategic Insight sets out the reasons why a new defence policy statement is increasingly needed.

“The government will have to make a number of critical defence policy decisions over the next twelve to twenty-four months” Jennings argues.

“These include decisions about our strategic posture, major military capability acquisitions and future plans for defence spending and efficiency measures.”

Jennings said: “These choices could be made in isolation, but the best way to arrive at the right policy outcomes would be via a disciplined and systematic review of our defence policy settings.”

The ASPI Strategic Insight outlines how the government might handle the following vital questions:

” What has really changed in Australia’s strategic outlook as a result of 9/11?

” How does defence policy fit into Australia’s emerging national security strategy?

” What is the best role for the ADF in our counter-terrorism strategies?

” What is the best role for the ADF in promoting stability in Southeast Asia and the South Pacific?

” Is ‘structuring for war and adapting for peace’ still the best approach?

” How far should we adopt network centric warfare?

” What ‘niche forces’ should we maintain for coalition operations?

” Should the Government continue real growth in Defence spending after 2011?

Strengthening Our Neighbour: Australia and the future of Papua New Guinea

The Australian Strategic Policy Institute (ASPI) has today released its report, Strengthening Our Neighbour: Australia and the future of Papua New Guinea.

Our nearest neighbour, Papua New Guinea (PNG) faces a host of significant challenges that go to the heart of its long term viability as a functioning state. While there is no acute crisis, many long-term trends are negative. A vicious cycle links failing service delivery, falling revenues and national fragmentation with increasing fragility of government institutions, poor economic performance and a lack legitimacy of the government in the eyes of the people. Underlying all of PNG’s problems are pervasive and systemic weaknesses in the capacity of the PNG state to provide effective government.

PNG’s deterioration matters to Australia for a host of compelling reasons, from high strategic and transnational security concerns through to altruistic impulses born of history, geography and common humanity.

Despite the considerable money and technical skills Australia has invested in PNG over the thirty years since its independence, little we have done has seemed to work. The recent Enhanced Cooperation Program (ECP), under which around 300 Australian police and public servants will help to address PNG’s challenges, is a step in the right direction, but it is too limited in scope to make much impact on the breadth and depth of PNG’s challenges.

This report sets out a policy approach which would enable Australia to play a more active part in helping to strengthen PNG. Such a program of deeper engagement would need to cover the following four elements:

Strengthen the relationship. Set a new direction for the relationship between Australia and PNG, and increase support for cultural, student and academic exchanges and scholarships.

Strengthen the state. Expand and improve programs to help PNG strengthen the state and its institutions, including support for strengthening PNG’s central agencies and for reforms to the handling of public money.

Strengthen the economy. Implement measures designed to strengthen PNG’s economy, including supporting regulatory reform, active support for the private sector, and the possibility of granting Papua New Guineans access to Australia’s labour market. 

Strengthen the nation. Help to build a stronger sense of nationhood in PNG, including support for the media and sport. The report was prepared by Hugh White and Elsina Wainwright, ASPI Strategy and International Program Director, with contributors Ken Baxter, Rowan Callick and Andrea Cole, and PNG perspectives from Sir Mekere Morauta and Charles Lepani.

Scoping Studies – New thinking on security

Launch of the Australian Strategic Policy Institute’s (ASPI’s) Strategy report Scoping Studies: New thinking on security

The Australian Strategic Policy Institute (ASPI) has today released its report, Scoping Studies: New thinking on security, as a major new contribution to policy thinking on national security.

Scoping Studies presents eleven views from a diverse selection of writers, each presenting their own list of the critical decisions the Government must make to keep Australia secure.

ASPI intends that Scoping Studies should contribute to the defence and national security agenda for this new term of government.

ASPI’s Acting Director, Peter Jennings, says “We gave our contributors the maximum flexibility so they could present their personal views about Australia’s key security challenges.”

“But a number of common themes emerged. Many of our authors called for Australia to develop a stronger national security approach. This would involve more closely coordinating Defence and other areas of government like aid, policing, education links and diplomacy to achieve security objectives.”

“There was also a close focus on the US alliance” Jennings said. “Our authors agree that the alliance is important to Asia-Pacific stability, but there is a wide range of views about how closely Australian policy should be linked to Washington.”

There are also diverse contributions on, among other topics:

  • How Australia should contribute to a stronger ‘human security’ agenda;
  • The need for a new Defence White Paper – and what it should say.
  • The challenge of developing a new defence industry policy.

Scoping Studies includes contributions from some of Australia’s leading thinkers on defence and security. Our eleven authors include academics, former senior military figures, and individuals with journalistic, industry and public service backgrounds.

“ASPI is delighted to release Scoping Studies as the latest issue in our Strategy series” Jennings, said.

“We hope these papers will help to invigorate a strong public debate on Australia’s increasingly demanding policy challenges in defence and security.”

ASPI Defence Almanac Launch

Launch of the Australian Strategic Policy Institute (ASPI) Australian Defence Almanac 2004-05

Mr Ric Smith, AO PSM, Secretary of the Department of Defence and ASPI Council member, launched the inaugural ASPI Australian Defence Almanac on Thursday, 30 September 2004. Attending the function were representatives from major defence industry corporations and senior Government officials.

Mr Smith congratulated ASPI on the choice of the subject of the Australian Defence Almanac and the timing of it release. He said, “one of ASPI’s critical roles is to support informed public debate about Defence and security issues. The new Almanac provides a baseline for that debate”.

Mr Smith said, “not only does the Almanac set out the basic numbers of Defence – its people, money and facilities – it also provides a history of the organisation and enumerates operations as far as 1947. It includes a useful list of treaties, conventions and agreements to which Australia is a party, and the international inter-governmental bodies that we’re members of. There is also a chapter on terrorism, which includes a description of our counter-terrorism arrangements”.

Mr Smith concluded, “the Almanac is a first rate contribution to an understanding of Australian Defence and security issues; a common set of facts for all of us to work from, and from which the debate can proceed”.

The ASPI Australian Defence Almanac 2004-2005 is of great value to anyone who wants information on the full range of Australian Defence activity. The Almanac is available for purchase on the ASPI website: http://www.aspi.org.au or by contacting ASPI on (02) 6270 5100.

Cleared for immediate release: Friday, 1 October 2004
Media Comment: Mr Raspal Khosa on (02) 6270 5103 (office) or 0412 246872 (mobile)

Australia-India Reengagement: Common Security Concerns, Converging Strategic Horizons, Complementary Force Structures

Release of Australian Strategic Policy Institute (ASPI) Strategic Insight No. 11/2004

ASPI today released its latest Strategic Insight Australia-India Reengagement: Common Security Concerns, Converging Strategic Horizons, Complementary Force Structures.

Written by Ms Jenelle Bonnor and Professor Varun Sahni, the co-convenors of the Australia-India Security Roundtable, the paper argues that Australia and India have covered a considerable distance since bilateral defence and security relations were reestablished in 2000 after a two-and-a-half-year hiatus. There is now a well-established habit of dialogue between the two governments, particularly on strategic issues. This dialogue has built the foundation for a more substantial and predictable security relationship.

But for security relations to become more concrete, there is a need to move beyond discussions, important though they are, and to focus on increasing the number of bilateral exchanges and other forms of practical cooperation.

Australia and India share common security concerns, particularly the threat of terrorism. Their respective strategic horizons, in the eastern Indian Ocean and beyond, are converging. And their military establishments-though differing considerably in size and shape, are complementary: they have much to learn from the other, both in areas where they share expertise as well as in areas of dissimilarity. There is therefore significant scope for closer strategic and security cooperation between Australia and India.

The report is available on our web site http://www.aspi.org.au or can be obtained by contacting ASPI on (02) 6270 5100.

UNDERSTANDING TERRORISM: 20 BASIC FACTS

Release of Australian Strategic Policy Institute (ASPI) Strategic Insight No. 10/2004

ASPI today released its latest Strategic InsightUnderstanding Terrorism: 20 basic facts by ASPI Program Director, Aldo Borgu.

Terrorism is a major contemporary security problem and will remain so for the foreseeable future. But as we approach the third anniversary of the attacks of September 11 and despite the fact that modern terrorism is a phenomenon that policy makers have been dealing with for at least 40 years, the concept of terrorism itself still seems little understood and much misrepresented.

In the paper Aldo Borgu presents twenty basic facts about the nature of terrorism, the threat to Australia and some of the required policy responses. These facts are in no particular order, many are interconnected, and most might seem blatantly obvious, but that doesn’t mean they aren’t worth restating and remembering from time to time. They include the following:

Terrorism, even in its contemporary form, is not a new phenomenon

Terrorists target us as much for what we do as who we are

Terrorism has more sophisticated aims than just killing people

The global war on terror does not compare to the Cold War

The United States has made Iraq the front line in their war on terror

In the short to medium-term the terrorist threat to Australia is more likely to originate overseas

Terrorism can’t be met primarily or even predominantly through military force

We currently lack decent measures of success against terrorism

The only way to combat terrorism is with a comprehensive long-term grand strategy.

The tragic events in Jakarta and Beslan in the past week only further confirm any number of these facts.